617 प्रकाशन | भारतीय रिज़र्व बैंक की आधिकारिक वेबसाइट

प्रकाशन



Q2:2026-27 के लिए विनिर्माण क्षेत्र का औद्योगिक दृष्टिकोण सर्वेक्षण

आज रिज़र्व बैंक ने अपने तिमाही औद्योगिक दृष्टिकोण सर्वेक्षण (आईओएस) के 115वें दौर के परिणाम जारी किए। सर्वेक्षण1 में Q2:2026-27 के लिए भारतीय विनिर्माण कंपनियों द्वारा कारोबारी माहौल के गुणात्मक आकलन तथा Q3:2026-27 और उसके बाद की दो तिमाहियों के लिए चुनिंदा मानकों पर उनकी अपेक्षाओं का समावेश है। इस दौर के सर्वेक्षण2 में, जो जुलाई-सितंबर 2026 के दौरान किया गया, कुल 1,224 कंपनियों ने प्रतिक्रिया दी।

मुख्य बातें:

अ. Q2:2026-27 के लिए आकलन

  • विनिर्माताओं ने पिछली तिमाही की तुलना में मांग की स्थिति में सुधार का संकेत दिया, जो उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक और क्षमता उपयोग पर उनके आकलन में परिलक्षित हुआ (सारणी ए)।

  • कच्चे माल की लागत से दबाव ऊँचे स्तर पर बना रहा, जबकि बिक्री मूल्यों को लेकर धारणा में नरमी रही।

  • कारोबार आकलन सूचकांक (बीएआई) Q1:2026‑27 के 100.4 से सुधरकर Q2:2026‑27 में 104.4 हो गया (चार्ट 1)।

ब. Q3:2026-27 के लिए अपेक्षाएँ

  • कंपनियाँ Q3:2026-27 में मांग की स्थिति को लेकर आशावादी बनी रहीं, जिसमें उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक, क्षमता उपयोग और निर्यात में सुधार की उम्मीद है।

  • लागत दबाव ऊँचे स्तर पर बने रहने की आशंका है, और बिक्री मूल्यों तथा लाभ मार्जिन को लेकर धारणा भी इसी प्रकार बनी रहने की उम्मीद है।

  • कारोबार अपेक्षा सूचकांक (बीईआई) Q3:2026‑27 में सुधरा (चार्ट 1)।

Chart 1

क. Q4:2026-27 और Q1:2027-28 के लिए अपेक्षाएँ

  • विनिर्माताओं को समग्र कारोबारी स्थिति, उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक और क्षमता उपयोग को लेकर आशावाद के साथ मांग की स्थिति के स्वस्थ बने रहने की उम्मीद है (सारणी बी)।

  • इनपुट लागत का दबाव बने रहने की संभावना है, साथ ही बिक्री मूल्यों पर भी इसका असर होगा।

Table A: Summary of Net responses3 on Survey Parameters
(per cent)
Parameters Assessment period Expectation period
Q1:2026-27* Q2:2026-27 Q2:2026-27* Q3:2026-27
Production 3.4 16.0 26.7 46.0
Order Books 2.9 13.0 27.0 45.0
Pending Orders 15.7 9.2 3.3 0.8
Capacity Utilisation 3.5 9.7 21.5 37.9
Inventory of Raw Materials 8.1 0.7 -3.4 -9.3
Inventory of Finished Goods 8.6 2.5 -3.2 -8.4
Exports -2.9 6.7 8.9 36.8
Imports 2.1 8.1 7.2 34.7
Employment 6.8 11.2 8.4 26.4
Financial Situation (Overall) 4.5 14.9 25.4 45.1
Availability of Finance (from internal accruals) 11.0 13.7 14.4 34.0
Availability of Finance (from banks & other sources) 9.9 11.4 10.9 29.4
Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) 2.0 7.2 3.5 33.2
Cost of Raw Material -78.1 -58.0 -52.9 -52.0
Cost of Finance -15.4 -14.9 -13.4 -33.4
Salary/ Other Remuneration -35.0 -17.7 -19.8 -33.8
Selling Price 22.3 16.7 15.8 28.4
Profit Margin -28.8 -15.9 -6.1 21.7
Overall Business Situation 1.8 15.0 27.4 48.5
*: Based on the previous round’s response.

Table B: Business Expectations on Select Parameters for extended period – Net response
(per cent)
Parameters Round 114 Round 115
Q2:2026-27 Q3:2026-27 Q4:2026-27 Q1:2027-28
Overall Business Situation 27.4 48.5 50.2 49.5
Production 26.7 46.0 49.5 49.4
Order Books 27.0 45.0 48.2 48.5
Capacity Utilisation 21.5 37.9 44.8 45.3
Employment 8.4 26.4 31.4 31.3
Cost of Raw Materials -52.9 -52.0 -53.2 -51.3
Selling Prices 15.8 28.4 32.0 32.4

Note: Please see the excel file for time series data

Table 1: Assessment and Expectations for Production
(Percentage responses)@
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 30.1 12.3 57.6 17.9 56.8 3.6 39.6 53.3
Q3:2025-26 37.7 15.9 46.4 21.7 50.5 2.6 47.0 47.9
Q4:2025-26 36.0 17.7 46.3 18.3 48.9 4.3 46.8 44.6
Q1:2026-27 29.1 25.8 45.1 3.4 45.6 7.4 47.1 38.2
Q2:2026-27 32.7 16.6 50.7 16.0 35.5 8.8 55.8 26.7
Q3:2026-27         50.8 4.8 44.5 46.0
‘Increase’ in production is optimistic.
@:Due to rounding off Percentage may not add up to 100.

Table 2: Assessment and Expectations for Order Books
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 27.9 13.1 59.0 14.8 56.1 3.9 40.0 52.1
Q3:2025-26 36.2 16.7 47.1 19.5 48.5 2.8 48.7 45.7
Q4:2025-26 36.1 16.9 47.0 19.2 48.1 4.4 47.5 43.7
Q1:2026-27 28.3 25.3 46.4 2.9 45.6 7.5 46.9 38.1
Q2:2026-27 31.1 18.1 50.8 13.0 35.5 8.5 56.1 27.0
Q3:2026-27         50.1 5.1 44.8 45.0
‘Increase’ in order books is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 3: Assessment and Expectations for Pending Orders
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response
Q2:2025-26 3.4 17.0 79.6 13.5 3.5 5.2 91.4 1.7
Q3:2025-26 4.3 16.4 79.2 12.1 3.6 3.8 92.6 0.2
Q4:2025-26 4.9 14.8 80.2 9.9 3.8 5.5 90.7 1.7
Q1:2026-27 4.7 20.5 74.8 15.7 4.2 6.3 89.4 2.1
Q2:2026-27 6.5 15.7 77.8 9.2 5.0 8.3 86.7 3.3
Q3:2026-27         4.6 5.4 90.0 0.8
Pending orders ‘Below Normal’ is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 4: Assessment and Expectations for Capacity Utilisation (Main Product)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 23.3 9.1 67.6 14.2 49.0 5.1 45.9 43.8
Q3:2025-26 29.0 12.9 58.1 16.1 45.8 2.5 51.7 43.3
Q4:2025-26 30.4 13.5 56.1 16.9 42.1 3.7 54.2 38.4
Q1:2026-27 23.7 20.3 56.0 3.5 38.8 6.5 54.7 32.3
Q2:2026-27 23.6 13.9 62.5 9.7 29.7 8.1 62.2 21.5
Q3:2026-27         41.4 3.5 55.1 37.9
‘Increase’ in capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 5: Level of capacity utilisation (compared to the average in preceding 4 quarters)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response Above Normal Below Normal Normal Net response
Q2:2025-26 20.1 14.3 65.6 5.8 18.8 5.1 76.1 13.7
Q3:2025-26 12.2 17.7 70.1 -5.5 19.2 3.5 77.3 15.7
Q4:2025-26 16.5 15.7 67.8 0.8 12.0 5.5 82.5 6.5
Q1:2026-27 7.7 23.7 68.6 -16.0 15.4 6.5 78.1 9.0
Q2:2026-27 19.7 15.7 64.7 4.0 7.3 8.4 84.3 -1.1
Q3:2026-27         18.5 6.0 75.5 12.5
‘Above Normal’ in Level of capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 6: Assessment and Expectations for Assessment of Production Capacity (with regard to expected demand in next 6 months)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
More than adequate Less than adequate Adequate Net response More than adequate Less than adequate Adequate Net response
Q2:2025-26 8.5 10.8 80.7 -2.3 18.6 2.7 78.8 15.9
Q3:2025-26 10.1 10.4 79.4 -0.3 18.7 2.8 78.4 15.9
Q4:2025-26 12.6 10.2 77.2 2.3 14.5 4.4 81.1 10.1
Q1:2026-27 8.1 16.1 75.8 -8.0 17.4 4.7 77.9 12.7
Q2:2026-27 12.4 11.5 76.1 0.9 10.0 7.8 82.3 2.2
Q3:2026-27         18.6 5.4 76.0 13.2
‘More than adequate’ in Assessment of Production Capacity is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 7: Assessment and Expectations for Exports
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 21.8 11.8 66.5 10.0 38.8 4.0 57.2 34.7
Q3:2025-26 22.3 17.5 60.3 4.8 42.2 4.5 53.3 37.7
Q4:2025-26 20.0 18.4 61.6 1.6 35.1 7.4 57.5 27.8
Q1:2026-27 17.6 20.5 62.0 -2.9 30.9 11.2 57.9 19.7
Q2:2026-27 20.7 14.0 65.4 6.7 18.2 9.3 72.5 8.9
Q3:2026-27         41.1 4.3 54.5 36.8
‘Increase’ in exports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 8: Assessment and Expectations for Imports
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 18.9 7.0 74.1 12.0 36.2 3.0 60.8 33.2
Q3:2025-26 19.1 10.6 70.3 8.5 38.8 2.5 58.7 36.2
Q4:2025-26 18.2 11.3 70.5 6.9 29.9 5.4 64.7 24.5
Q1:2026-27 14.3 12.2 73.5 2.1 26.8 6.4 66.8 20.5
Q2:2026-27 19.7 11.6 68.8 8.1 13.5 6.2 80.3 7.2
Q3:2026-27         37.8 3.1 59.1 34.7
‘Increase’ in imports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 9: Assessment and Expectations for level of Raw Materials Inventory
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Above average Below average average Net response Above average Below average average Net response
Q2:2025-26 9.6 11.1 79.3 1.5 14.9 2.9 82.2 -12.1
Q3:2025-26 12.0 10.1 77.9 -1.9 16.7 1.3 82.0 -15.5
Q4:2025-26 13.4 11.3 75.3 -2.1 10.5 2.3 87.2 -8.2
Q1:2026-27 11.0 19.1 69.9 8.1 12.5 3.1 84.4 -9.4
Q2:2026-27 12.4 13.1 74.5 0.7 7.5 4.1 88.4 -3.4
Q3:2026-27         12.7 3.4 83.9 -9.3
‘Below average’ Inventory of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 10: Assessment and Expectations for level of Finished Goods Inventory
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Above average Below average average Net response Above average Below average average Net response
Q2:2025-26 10.7 11.1 78.2 0.5 15.3 2.9 81.8 -12.5
Q3:2025-26 12.1 11.1 76.8 -0.9 17.5 1.7 80.8 -15.7
Q4:2025-26 13.3 12.0 74.8 -1.3 10.3 2.8 86.9 -7.5
Q1:2026-27 11.0 19.6 69.5 8.6 11.3 3.6 85.1 -7.7
Q2:2026-27 11.6 14.1 74.3 2.5 7.5 4.4 88.1 -3.2
Q3:2026-27         12.3 3.9 83.8 -8.4
‘Below average’ Inventory of finished goods is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 11: Assessment and Expectations for Employment Outlook
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 15.8 7.8 76.4 8.0 25.4 1.8 72.8 23.7
Q3:2025-26 16.1 8.5 75.5 7.6 26.2 1.0 72.8 25.2
Q4:2025-26 17.6 6.8 75.6 10.8 19.5 2.3 78.2 17.2
Q1:2026-27 16.0 9.2 74.8 6.8 20.7 3.5 75.8 17.1
Q2:2026-27 18.9 7.7 73.5 11.2 11.5 3.0 85.5 8.4
Q3:2026-27         28.4 2.0 69.6 26.4
‘Increase’ in employment is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 12: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Financial Situation
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Better Worsen No change Net response Better Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 28.8 11.3 59.8 17.5 57.0 3.0 40.0 53.9
Q3:2025-26 34.3 13.1 52.7 21.2 49.8 1.9 48.3 47.9
Q4:2025-26 35.7 12.4 51.9 23.3 45.0 3.2 51.8 41.8
Q1:2026-27 26.8 22.3 50.9 4.5 45.5 4.4 50.1 41.0
Q2:2026-27 29.2 14.3 56.6 14.9 33.1 7.8 59.1 25.4
Q3:2026-27         48.9 3.7 47.4 45.1
‘Better’ overall financial situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 13: Assessment and Expectations for Working Capital Finance Requirement
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 19.7 5.8 74.5 13.9 33.4 1.9 64.6 31.5
Q3:2025-26 22.8 5.0 72.2 17.8 34.1 1.5 64.4 32.6
Q4:2025-26 20.6 4.8 74.6 15.8 26.4 1.7 71.9 24.7
Q1:2026-27 21.9 5.3 72.8 16.7 22.6 2.8 74.6 19.9
Q2:2026-27 21.6 7.2 71.2 14.5 17.1 2.7 80.2 14.4
Q3:2026-27         32.4 1.9 65.6 30.5
‘Increase’ in working capital finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 14: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from Internal Accruals)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 21.0 5.3 73.7 15.7 47.8 1.3 50.8 46.5
Q3:2025-26 26.9 5.6 67.5 21.4 40.1 0.8 59.0 39.3
Q4:2025-26 29.7 5.5 64.8 24.2 37.5 1.5 61.0 36.0
Q1:2026-27 17.9 6.9 75.2 11.0 36.0 3.1 60.9 32.9
Q2:2026-27 20.4 6.7 72.8 13.7 17.7 3.3 78.9 14.4
Q3:2026-27         35.6 1.5 62.9 34.0
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 15: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from banks and other sources)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 16.4 4.9 78.8 11.5 41.2 0.5 58.3 40.7
Q3:2025-26 21.8 4.5 73.7 17.2 35.4 0.6 64.1 34.8
Q4:2025-26 20.6 3.5 75.9 17.1 27.9 1.2 70.8 26.7
Q1:2026-27 14.4 4.5 81.1 9.9 25.0 2.3 72.7 22.7
Q2:2026-27 17.6 6.2 76.2 11.4 13.5 2.7 83.8 10.9
Q3:2026-27         30.9 1.5 67.6 29.4
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 16: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable)
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Improve Worsen No change Net response Improve Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 11.7 5.5 82.9 6.2 32.9 0.5 66.5 32.4
Q3:2025-26 9.7 4.9 85.4 4.7 29.5 0.7 69.8 28.8
Q4:2025-26 11.0 4.0 85.0 6.9 18.2 1.0 80.7 17.2
Q1:2026-27 5.4 3.4 91.2 2.0 16.8 1.8 81.4 15.0
Q2:2026-27 13.2 6.0 80.8 7.2 5.1 1.6 93.2 3.5
Q3:2026-27         33.7 0.5 65.8 33.2
‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 17: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Finance
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 14.5 8.4 77.1 -6.1 26.1 13.6 60.2 -12.5
Q3:2025-26 13.0 7.8 79.2 -5.2 30.2 2.3 67.4 -27.9
Q4:2025-26 15.8 7.6 76.6 -8.3 20.1 3.9 76.0 -16.2
Q1:2026-27 19.1 3.7 77.2 -15.4 20.9 4.0 75.1 -16.9
Q2:2026-27 20.7 5.8 73.6 -14.9 15.7 2.3 82.0 -13.4
Q3:2026-27         34.7 1.3 64.0 -33.4
‘Decrease’ in cost of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. The column heads, namely ‘Increase’ and ‘Decrease’ in data releases for rounds 82-87 were interchanged and should be read as above.

Table 18: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Raw Materials
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 42.1 4.1 53.8 -38.1 56.2 1.2 42.6 -54.9
Q3:2025-26 47.6 5.3 47.1 -42.3 46.6 1.0 52.4 -45.6
Q4:2025-26 56.5 2.8 40.7 -53.7 43.9 1.7 54.4 -42.2
Q1:2026-27 79.3 1.2 19.6 -78.1 52.6 1.7 45.7 -50.9
Q2:2026-27 62.8 4.8 32.3 -58.0 54.2 1.3 44.5 -52.9
Q3:2026-27         53.5 1.6 44.9 -52.0
‘Decrease’ in cost of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 19: Assessment and Expectations for Salary/Other Remuneration
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 15.9 3.2 80.9 -12.7 32.1 0.5 67.3 -31.6
Q3:2025-26 17.9 2.8 79.3 -15.0 30.7 0.7 68.6 -29.9
Q4:2025-26 19.1 1.4 79.5 -17.7 22.2 1.3 76.5 -20.9
Q1:2026-27 35.9 0.9 63.3 -35.0 38.5 0.9 60.5 -37.6
Q2:2026-27 21.6 3.8 74.6 -17.7 20.4 0.6 78.9 -19.8
Q3:2026-27         34.3 0.4 65.3 -33.8
‘Decrease’ in Salary / other remuneration is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 20: Assessment and Expectations for Selling Price
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 13.2 10.8 76.0 2.4 26.4 2.6 71.1 23.8
Q3:2025-26 13.2 14.8 72.0 -1.6 26.7 2.6 70.7 24.1
Q4:2025-26 15.6 9.9 74.5 5.8 17.8 4.3 77.9 13.5
Q1:2026-27 30.0 7.8 62.2 22.3 19.8 3.6 76.6 16.3
Q2:2026-27 25.1 8.5 66.4 16.7 19.5 3.7 76.8 15.8
Q3:2026-27         31.1 2.7 66.2 28.4
‘Increase’ in selling price is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 21: Assessment and Expectations for Profit Margin
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Increase Decrease No change Net response Increase Decrease No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 11.9 18.3 69.8 -6.4 26.2 6.2 67.6 20.1
Q3:2025-26 12.6 22.0 65.4 -9.4 28.9 4.3 66.9 24.6
Q4:2025-26 13.5 22.2 64.3 -8.6 19.8 7.3 72.9 12.4
Q1:2026-27 8.5 37.4 54.1 -28.8 19.4 10.4 70.2 9.0
Q2:2026-27 12.9 28.7 58.4 -15.9 9.9 16.0 74.1 -6.1
Q3:2026-27         29.5 7.8 62.6 21.7
‘Increase’ in profit margin is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 22: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Business Situation
(Percentage responses)
Quarter Assessment Expectations
Better Worsen No change Net response Better Worsen No change Net response
Q2:2025-26 29.7 11.7 58.6 18.0 56.7 5.2 38.2 51.5
Q3:2025-26 36.9 14.0 49.1 22.9 51.5 2.2 46.4 49.3
Q4:2025-26 37.0 15.2 47.8 21.9 49.7 3.3 46.9 46.4
Q1:2026-27 27.8 26.0 46.2 1.8 47.3 6.2 46.5 41.1
Q2:2026-27 30.7 15.8 53.5 15.0 36.4 9.0 54.7 27.4
Q3:2026-27         52.0 3.6 44.4 48.5
‘Better’ Overall Business Situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here.

Table 23: Business Sentiments4
Quarter Business Assessment Index (BAI) Business Expectations Index (BEI)
Q2:2025-26 110.6 126.2
Q3:2025-26 107.8 126.3
Q4:2025-26 108.8 122.8
Q1:2026-27 100.4 118.8
Q2:2026-27 104.4 111.1
Q3:2026-27   126.3

1 सर्वेक्षण के परिणाम उत्तरदाताओं के विचारों को दर्शाते हैं, जो आवश्यक रूप से रिज़र्व बैंक के विचार नहीं हैं।

2 पिछले सर्वेक्षण दौर के परिणाम बैंक की वेबसाइट पर 05 अगस्त 2026 को जारी किए गए थे।

3 नेट रिस्पॉन्स (NR) आशावाद व्यक्त करने वाले प्रतिभागियों के प्रतिशत और निराशावाद व्यक्त करने वाले प्रतिभागियों के प्रतिशत के बीच का अंतर है। यह -100 से 100 के बीच होता है। शून्य से अधिक कोई भी मान विस्तार/आशावाद को दर्शाता है और शून्य से कम कोई भी मान संकुचन/निराशावाद को दर्शाता है। दूसरे शब्दों में, NR = (I – D), जहां I 'वृद्धि/आशावाद' का प्रतिशत उत्तर है, D 'कमी/निराशावाद' का प्रतिशत उत्तर है, और E 'कोई बदलाव नहीं/समान' का प्रतिशत उत्तर है (अर्थात, I + D + E = 100)। उदाहरण के लिए, उत्पादन में वृद्धि आशावाद है, जबकि कच्चे माल की लागत में कमी भी आशावाद है।

4 प्रत्येक सर्वेक्षण दौर के लिए, दो सारांश सूचकांकों की गणना की जाती है - एक मूल्यांकन पर आधारित [अर्थात, व्यवसाय मूल्यांकन सूचकांक (बीएआई)] और दूसरा अपेक्षाओं पर आधारित [अर्थात, व्यावसायिक अपेक्षाएँ सूचकांक (बीईआई)]। प्रत्येक सूचकांक एक समग्र संकेतक है जिसकी गणना नौ व्यावसायिक मापदंडों के एक साधारण औसत के रूप में की जाती है, जहां प्रत्येक पैरामीटर को भारित शुद्ध प्रतिक्रिया के रूप में प्राप्त किया जाता है, भार सकल मूल्य वर्धित (जीवीए) में उद्योग समूहों का हिस्सा होता है। विचार किए गए नौ पैरामीटर हैं: (1) समग्र व्यावसायिक स्थिति; (2) उत्पादन; (3) ऑर्डर बुक; (4) कच्चे माल की सूची; (5) तैयार माल की सूची; (6) लाभ मार्जिन; (7) रोजगार; (8) निर्यात; और (9) क्षमता उपयोग। बीएआई/बीईआई प्रत्येक तिमाही में कारोबारी दृष्टिकोण का एक स्नैपशॉट देता है एवं 0 और 200 के बीच मानक लेता है, जिसमें 100 संकुचन से विस्तार को अलग करने वाली सीमा है।


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