आज रिज़र्व बैंक ने अपने तिमाही औद्योगिक दृष्टिकोण सर्वेक्षण (आईओएस) के 115वें दौर के परिणाम जारी किए। सर्वेक्षण1 में Q2:2026-27 के लिए भारतीय विनिर्माण कंपनियों द्वारा कारोबारी माहौल के गुणात्मक आकलन तथा Q3:2026-27 और उसके बाद की दो तिमाहियों के लिए चुनिंदा मानकों पर उनकी अपेक्षाओं का समावेश है। इस दौर के सर्वेक्षण2 में, जो जुलाई-सितंबर 2026 के दौरान किया गया, कुल 1,224 कंपनियों ने प्रतिक्रिया दी।
मुख्य बातें:
अ. Q2:2026-27 के लिए आकलन
-
विनिर्माताओं ने पिछली तिमाही की तुलना में मांग की स्थिति में सुधार का संकेत दिया, जो उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक और क्षमता उपयोग पर उनके आकलन में परिलक्षित हुआ (सारणी ए)।
-
कच्चे माल की लागत से दबाव ऊँचे स्तर पर बना रहा, जबकि बिक्री मूल्यों को लेकर धारणा में नरमी रही।
-
कारोबार आकलन सूचकांक (बीएआई) Q1:2026‑27 के 100.4 से सुधरकर Q2:2026‑27 में 104.4 हो गया (चार्ट 1)।
ब. Q3:2026-27 के लिए अपेक्षाएँ
-
कंपनियाँ Q3:2026-27 में मांग की स्थिति को लेकर आशावादी बनी रहीं, जिसमें उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक, क्षमता उपयोग और निर्यात में सुधार की उम्मीद है।
-
लागत दबाव ऊँचे स्तर पर बने रहने की आशंका है, और बिक्री मूल्यों तथा लाभ मार्जिन को लेकर धारणा भी इसी प्रकार बनी रहने की उम्मीद है।
-
कारोबार अपेक्षा सूचकांक (बीईआई) Q3:2026‑27 में सुधरा (चार्ट 1)।
क. Q4:2026-27 और Q1:2027-28 के लिए अपेक्षाएँ
-
विनिर्माताओं को समग्र कारोबारी स्थिति, उत्पादन, ऑर्डर बुक और क्षमता उपयोग को लेकर आशावाद के साथ मांग की स्थिति के स्वस्थ बने रहने की उम्मीद है (सारणी बी)।
-
इनपुट लागत का दबाव बने रहने की संभावना है, साथ ही बिक्री मूल्यों पर भी इसका असर होगा।
| Table A: Summary of Net responses3 on Survey Parameters |
| (per cent) |
| Parameters |
Assessment period |
Expectation period |
| Q1:2026-27* |
Q2:2026-27 |
Q2:2026-27* |
Q3:2026-27 |
| Production |
3.4 |
16.0 |
26.7 |
46.0 |
| Order Books |
2.9 |
13.0 |
27.0 |
45.0 |
| Pending Orders |
15.7 |
9.2 |
3.3 |
0.8 |
| Capacity Utilisation |
3.5 |
9.7 |
21.5 |
37.9 |
| Inventory of Raw Materials |
8.1 |
0.7 |
-3.4 |
-9.3 |
| Inventory of Finished Goods |
8.6 |
2.5 |
-3.2 |
-8.4 |
| Exports |
-2.9 |
6.7 |
8.9 |
36.8 |
| Imports |
2.1 |
8.1 |
7.2 |
34.7 |
| Employment |
6.8 |
11.2 |
8.4 |
26.4 |
| Financial Situation (Overall) |
4.5 |
14.9 |
25.4 |
45.1 |
| Availability of Finance (from internal accruals) |
11.0 |
13.7 |
14.4 |
34.0 |
| Availability of Finance (from banks & other sources) |
9.9 |
11.4 |
10.9 |
29.4 |
| Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) |
2.0 |
7.2 |
3.5 |
33.2 |
| Cost of Raw Material |
-78.1 |
-58.0 |
-52.9 |
-52.0 |
| Cost of Finance |
-15.4 |
-14.9 |
-13.4 |
-33.4 |
| Salary/ Other Remuneration |
-35.0 |
-17.7 |
-19.8 |
-33.8 |
| Selling Price |
22.3 |
16.7 |
15.8 |
28.4 |
| Profit Margin |
-28.8 |
-15.9 |
-6.1 |
21.7 |
| Overall Business Situation |
1.8 |
15.0 |
27.4 |
48.5 |
| *: Based on the previous round’s response. |
| Table B: Business Expectations on Select Parameters for extended period – Net response |
| (per cent) |
| Parameters |
Round 114 |
Round 115 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
Q3:2026-27 |
Q4:2026-27 |
Q1:2027-28 |
| Overall Business Situation |
27.4 |
48.5 |
50.2 |
49.5 |
| Production |
26.7 |
46.0 |
49.5 |
49.4 |
| Order Books |
27.0 |
45.0 |
48.2 |
48.5 |
| Capacity Utilisation |
21.5 |
37.9 |
44.8 |
45.3 |
| Employment |
8.4 |
26.4 |
31.4 |
31.3 |
| Cost of Raw Materials |
-52.9 |
-52.0 |
-53.2 |
-51.3 |
| Selling Prices |
15.8 |
28.4 |
32.0 |
32.4 |
Note: Please see the excel file for time series data
| Table 1: Assessment and Expectations for Production |
| (Percentage responses)@ |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
30.1 |
12.3 |
57.6 |
17.9 |
56.8 |
3.6 |
39.6 |
53.3 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
37.7 |
15.9 |
46.4 |
21.7 |
50.5 |
2.6 |
47.0 |
47.9 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
36.0 |
17.7 |
46.3 |
18.3 |
48.9 |
4.3 |
46.8 |
44.6 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
29.1 |
25.8 |
45.1 |
3.4 |
45.6 |
7.4 |
47.1 |
38.2 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
32.7 |
16.6 |
50.7 |
16.0 |
35.5 |
8.8 |
55.8 |
26.7 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
50.8 |
4.8 |
44.5 |
46.0 |
| ‘Increase’ in production is optimistic. |
| @:Due to rounding off Percentage may not add up to 100. |
| Table 2: Assessment and Expectations for Order Books |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
27.9 |
13.1 |
59.0 |
14.8 |
56.1 |
3.9 |
40.0 |
52.1 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
36.2 |
16.7 |
47.1 |
19.5 |
48.5 |
2.8 |
48.7 |
45.7 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
36.1 |
16.9 |
47.0 |
19.2 |
48.1 |
4.4 |
47.5 |
43.7 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
28.3 |
25.3 |
46.4 |
2.9 |
45.6 |
7.5 |
46.9 |
38.1 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
31.1 |
18.1 |
50.8 |
13.0 |
35.5 |
8.5 |
56.1 |
27.0 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
50.1 |
5.1 |
44.8 |
45.0 |
| ‘Increase’ in order books is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 3: Assessment and Expectations for Pending Orders |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
3.4 |
17.0 |
79.6 |
13.5 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
91.4 |
1.7 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
4.3 |
16.4 |
79.2 |
12.1 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
92.6 |
0.2 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
4.9 |
14.8 |
80.2 |
9.9 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
90.7 |
1.7 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
4.7 |
20.5 |
74.8 |
15.7 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
89.4 |
2.1 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
6.5 |
15.7 |
77.8 |
9.2 |
5.0 |
8.3 |
86.7 |
3.3 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
4.6 |
5.4 |
90.0 |
0.8 |
| Pending orders ‘Below Normal’ is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 4: Assessment and Expectations for Capacity Utilisation (Main Product) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
23.3 |
9.1 |
67.6 |
14.2 |
49.0 |
5.1 |
45.9 |
43.8 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
29.0 |
12.9 |
58.1 |
16.1 |
45.8 |
2.5 |
51.7 |
43.3 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
30.4 |
13.5 |
56.1 |
16.9 |
42.1 |
3.7 |
54.2 |
38.4 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
23.7 |
20.3 |
56.0 |
3.5 |
38.8 |
6.5 |
54.7 |
32.3 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
23.6 |
13.9 |
62.5 |
9.7 |
29.7 |
8.1 |
62.2 |
21.5 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
41.4 |
3.5 |
55.1 |
37.9 |
| ‘Increase’ in capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 5: Level of capacity utilisation (compared to the average in preceding 4 quarters) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
Above Normal |
Below Normal |
Normal |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
20.1 |
14.3 |
65.6 |
5.8 |
18.8 |
5.1 |
76.1 |
13.7 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
12.2 |
17.7 |
70.1 |
-5.5 |
19.2 |
3.5 |
77.3 |
15.7 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
16.5 |
15.7 |
67.8 |
0.8 |
12.0 |
5.5 |
82.5 |
6.5 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
7.7 |
23.7 |
68.6 |
-16.0 |
15.4 |
6.5 |
78.1 |
9.0 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
19.7 |
15.7 |
64.7 |
4.0 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
84.3 |
-1.1 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
18.5 |
6.0 |
75.5 |
12.5 |
| ‘Above Normal’ in Level of capacity utilisation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 6: Assessment and Expectations for Assessment of Production Capacity (with regard to expected demand in next 6 months) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| More than adequate |
Less than adequate |
Adequate |
Net response |
More than adequate |
Less than adequate |
Adequate |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
8.5 |
10.8 |
80.7 |
-2.3 |
18.6 |
2.7 |
78.8 |
15.9 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
79.4 |
-0.3 |
18.7 |
2.8 |
78.4 |
15.9 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
12.6 |
10.2 |
77.2 |
2.3 |
14.5 |
4.4 |
81.1 |
10.1 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
8.1 |
16.1 |
75.8 |
-8.0 |
17.4 |
4.7 |
77.9 |
12.7 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
12.4 |
11.5 |
76.1 |
0.9 |
10.0 |
7.8 |
82.3 |
2.2 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
18.6 |
5.4 |
76.0 |
13.2 |
| ‘More than adequate’ in Assessment of Production Capacity is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 7: Assessment and Expectations for Exports |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
21.8 |
11.8 |
66.5 |
10.0 |
38.8 |
4.0 |
57.2 |
34.7 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
22.3 |
17.5 |
60.3 |
4.8 |
42.2 |
4.5 |
53.3 |
37.7 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
20.0 |
18.4 |
61.6 |
1.6 |
35.1 |
7.4 |
57.5 |
27.8 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
17.6 |
20.5 |
62.0 |
-2.9 |
30.9 |
11.2 |
57.9 |
19.7 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
20.7 |
14.0 |
65.4 |
6.7 |
18.2 |
9.3 |
72.5 |
8.9 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
41.1 |
4.3 |
54.5 |
36.8 |
| ‘Increase’ in exports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 8: Assessment and Expectations for Imports |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
18.9 |
7.0 |
74.1 |
12.0 |
36.2 |
3.0 |
60.8 |
33.2 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
19.1 |
10.6 |
70.3 |
8.5 |
38.8 |
2.5 |
58.7 |
36.2 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
18.2 |
11.3 |
70.5 |
6.9 |
29.9 |
5.4 |
64.7 |
24.5 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
14.3 |
12.2 |
73.5 |
2.1 |
26.8 |
6.4 |
66.8 |
20.5 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
19.7 |
11.6 |
68.8 |
8.1 |
13.5 |
6.2 |
80.3 |
7.2 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
37.8 |
3.1 |
59.1 |
34.7 |
| ‘Increase’ in imports is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 9: Assessment and Expectations for level of Raw Materials Inventory |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Above average |
Below average |
average |
Net response |
Above average |
Below average |
average |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
9.6 |
11.1 |
79.3 |
1.5 |
14.9 |
2.9 |
82.2 |
-12.1 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
12.0 |
10.1 |
77.9 |
-1.9 |
16.7 |
1.3 |
82.0 |
-15.5 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
13.4 |
11.3 |
75.3 |
-2.1 |
10.5 |
2.3 |
87.2 |
-8.2 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
11.0 |
19.1 |
69.9 |
8.1 |
12.5 |
3.1 |
84.4 |
-9.4 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
12.4 |
13.1 |
74.5 |
0.7 |
7.5 |
4.1 |
88.4 |
-3.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
12.7 |
3.4 |
83.9 |
-9.3 |
| ‘Below average’ Inventory of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 10: Assessment and Expectations for level of Finished Goods Inventory |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Above average |
Below average |
average |
Net response |
Above average |
Below average |
average |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
10.7 |
11.1 |
78.2 |
0.5 |
15.3 |
2.9 |
81.8 |
-12.5 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
12.1 |
11.1 |
76.8 |
-0.9 |
17.5 |
1.7 |
80.8 |
-15.7 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
13.3 |
12.0 |
74.8 |
-1.3 |
10.3 |
2.8 |
86.9 |
-7.5 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
11.0 |
19.6 |
69.5 |
8.6 |
11.3 |
3.6 |
85.1 |
-7.7 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
11.6 |
14.1 |
74.3 |
2.5 |
7.5 |
4.4 |
88.1 |
-3.2 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
12.3 |
3.9 |
83.8 |
-8.4 |
| ‘Below average’ Inventory of finished goods is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 11: Assessment and Expectations for Employment Outlook |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
15.8 |
7.8 |
76.4 |
8.0 |
25.4 |
1.8 |
72.8 |
23.7 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
16.1 |
8.5 |
75.5 |
7.6 |
26.2 |
1.0 |
72.8 |
25.2 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
17.6 |
6.8 |
75.6 |
10.8 |
19.5 |
2.3 |
78.2 |
17.2 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
16.0 |
9.2 |
74.8 |
6.8 |
20.7 |
3.5 |
75.8 |
17.1 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
18.9 |
7.7 |
73.5 |
11.2 |
11.5 |
3.0 |
85.5 |
8.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
28.4 |
2.0 |
69.6 |
26.4 |
| ‘Increase’ in employment is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 12: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Financial Situation |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
28.8 |
11.3 |
59.8 |
17.5 |
57.0 |
3.0 |
40.0 |
53.9 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
34.3 |
13.1 |
52.7 |
21.2 |
49.8 |
1.9 |
48.3 |
47.9 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
35.7 |
12.4 |
51.9 |
23.3 |
45.0 |
3.2 |
51.8 |
41.8 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
26.8 |
22.3 |
50.9 |
4.5 |
45.5 |
4.4 |
50.1 |
41.0 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
29.2 |
14.3 |
56.6 |
14.9 |
33.1 |
7.8 |
59.1 |
25.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
48.9 |
3.7 |
47.4 |
45.1 |
| ‘Better’ overall financial situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 13: Assessment and Expectations for Working Capital Finance Requirement |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
19.7 |
5.8 |
74.5 |
13.9 |
33.4 |
1.9 |
64.6 |
31.5 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
22.8 |
5.0 |
72.2 |
17.8 |
34.1 |
1.5 |
64.4 |
32.6 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
20.6 |
4.8 |
74.6 |
15.8 |
26.4 |
1.7 |
71.9 |
24.7 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
21.9 |
5.3 |
72.8 |
16.7 |
22.6 |
2.8 |
74.6 |
19.9 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
21.6 |
7.2 |
71.2 |
14.5 |
17.1 |
2.7 |
80.2 |
14.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
32.4 |
1.9 |
65.6 |
30.5 |
| ‘Increase’ in working capital finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 14: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from Internal Accruals) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
21.0 |
5.3 |
73.7 |
15.7 |
47.8 |
1.3 |
50.8 |
46.5 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
26.9 |
5.6 |
67.5 |
21.4 |
40.1 |
0.8 |
59.0 |
39.3 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
29.7 |
5.5 |
64.8 |
24.2 |
37.5 |
1.5 |
61.0 |
36.0 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
17.9 |
6.9 |
75.2 |
11.0 |
36.0 |
3.1 |
60.9 |
32.9 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
20.4 |
6.7 |
72.8 |
13.7 |
17.7 |
3.3 |
78.9 |
14.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
35.6 |
1.5 |
62.9 |
34.0 |
| ‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 15: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from banks and other sources) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
16.4 |
4.9 |
78.8 |
11.5 |
41.2 |
0.5 |
58.3 |
40.7 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
21.8 |
4.5 |
73.7 |
17.2 |
35.4 |
0.6 |
64.1 |
34.8 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
20.6 |
3.5 |
75.9 |
17.1 |
27.9 |
1.2 |
70.8 |
26.7 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
14.4 |
4.5 |
81.1 |
9.9 |
25.0 |
2.3 |
72.7 |
22.7 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
17.6 |
6.2 |
76.2 |
11.4 |
13.5 |
2.7 |
83.8 |
10.9 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
30.9 |
1.5 |
67.6 |
29.4 |
| ‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 16: Assessment and Expectations for Availability of Finance (from overseas, if applicable) |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Improve |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
11.7 |
5.5 |
82.9 |
6.2 |
32.9 |
0.5 |
66.5 |
32.4 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
9.7 |
4.9 |
85.4 |
4.7 |
29.5 |
0.7 |
69.8 |
28.8 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
11.0 |
4.0 |
85.0 |
6.9 |
18.2 |
1.0 |
80.7 |
17.2 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
5.4 |
3.4 |
91.2 |
2.0 |
16.8 |
1.8 |
81.4 |
15.0 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
13.2 |
6.0 |
80.8 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
1.6 |
93.2 |
3.5 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
33.7 |
0.5 |
65.8 |
33.2 |
| ‘Improvement’ in availability of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 17: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Finance |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
14.5 |
8.4 |
77.1 |
-6.1 |
26.1 |
13.6 |
60.2 |
-12.5 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
13.0 |
7.8 |
79.2 |
-5.2 |
30.2 |
2.3 |
67.4 |
-27.9 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
15.8 |
7.6 |
76.6 |
-8.3 |
20.1 |
3.9 |
76.0 |
-16.2 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
19.1 |
3.7 |
77.2 |
-15.4 |
20.9 |
4.0 |
75.1 |
-16.9 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
20.7 |
5.8 |
73.6 |
-14.9 |
15.7 |
2.3 |
82.0 |
-13.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
34.7 |
1.3 |
64.0 |
-33.4 |
| ‘Decrease’ in cost of finance is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. The column heads, namely ‘Increase’ and ‘Decrease’ in data releases for rounds 82-87 were interchanged and should be read as above. |
| Table 18: Assessment and Expectations for Cost of Raw Materials |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
42.1 |
4.1 |
53.8 |
-38.1 |
56.2 |
1.2 |
42.6 |
-54.9 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
47.6 |
5.3 |
47.1 |
-42.3 |
46.6 |
1.0 |
52.4 |
-45.6 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
56.5 |
2.8 |
40.7 |
-53.7 |
43.9 |
1.7 |
54.4 |
-42.2 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
79.3 |
1.2 |
19.6 |
-78.1 |
52.6 |
1.7 |
45.7 |
-50.9 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
62.8 |
4.8 |
32.3 |
-58.0 |
54.2 |
1.3 |
44.5 |
-52.9 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
53.5 |
1.6 |
44.9 |
-52.0 |
| ‘Decrease’ in cost of raw materials is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 19: Assessment and Expectations for Salary/Other Remuneration |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
15.9 |
3.2 |
80.9 |
-12.7 |
32.1 |
0.5 |
67.3 |
-31.6 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
17.9 |
2.8 |
79.3 |
-15.0 |
30.7 |
0.7 |
68.6 |
-29.9 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
19.1 |
1.4 |
79.5 |
-17.7 |
22.2 |
1.3 |
76.5 |
-20.9 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
35.9 |
0.9 |
63.3 |
-35.0 |
38.5 |
0.9 |
60.5 |
-37.6 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
21.6 |
3.8 |
74.6 |
-17.7 |
20.4 |
0.6 |
78.9 |
-19.8 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
34.3 |
0.4 |
65.3 |
-33.8 |
| ‘Decrease’ in Salary / other remuneration is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 20: Assessment and Expectations for Selling Price |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
13.2 |
10.8 |
76.0 |
2.4 |
26.4 |
2.6 |
71.1 |
23.8 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
13.2 |
14.8 |
72.0 |
-1.6 |
26.7 |
2.6 |
70.7 |
24.1 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
15.6 |
9.9 |
74.5 |
5.8 |
17.8 |
4.3 |
77.9 |
13.5 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
30.0 |
7.8 |
62.2 |
22.3 |
19.8 |
3.6 |
76.6 |
16.3 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
25.1 |
8.5 |
66.4 |
16.7 |
19.5 |
3.7 |
76.8 |
15.8 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
31.1 |
2.7 |
66.2 |
28.4 |
| ‘Increase’ in selling price is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 21: Assessment and Expectations for Profit Margin |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
Increase |
Decrease |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
11.9 |
18.3 |
69.8 |
-6.4 |
26.2 |
6.2 |
67.6 |
20.1 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
12.6 |
22.0 |
65.4 |
-9.4 |
28.9 |
4.3 |
66.9 |
24.6 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
13.5 |
22.2 |
64.3 |
-8.6 |
19.8 |
7.3 |
72.9 |
12.4 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
8.5 |
37.4 |
54.1 |
-28.8 |
19.4 |
10.4 |
70.2 |
9.0 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
12.9 |
28.7 |
58.4 |
-15.9 |
9.9 |
16.0 |
74.1 |
-6.1 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
29.5 |
7.8 |
62.6 |
21.7 |
| ‘Increase’ in profit margin is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 22: Assessment and Expectations for Overall Business Situation |
| (Percentage responses) |
| Quarter |
Assessment |
Expectations |
| Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
Better |
Worsen |
No change |
Net response |
| Q2:2025-26 |
29.7 |
11.7 |
58.6 |
18.0 |
56.7 |
5.2 |
38.2 |
51.5 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
36.9 |
14.0 |
49.1 |
22.9 |
51.5 |
2.2 |
46.4 |
49.3 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
37.0 |
15.2 |
47.8 |
21.9 |
49.7 |
3.3 |
46.9 |
46.4 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
27.8 |
26.0 |
46.2 |
1.8 |
47.3 |
6.2 |
46.5 |
41.1 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
30.7 |
15.8 |
53.5 |
15.0 |
36.4 |
9.0 |
54.7 |
27.4 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
|
|
|
52.0 |
3.6 |
44.4 |
48.5 |
| ‘Better’ Overall Business Situation is optimistic. Footnote ‘@’ given in Table 1 is applicable here. |
| Table 23: Business Sentiments4 |
| Quarter |
Business Assessment Index (BAI) |
Business Expectations Index (BEI) |
| Q2:2025-26 |
110.6 |
126.2 |
| Q3:2025-26 |
107.8 |
126.3 |
| Q4:2025-26 |
108.8 |
122.8 |
| Q1:2026-27 |
100.4 |
118.8 |
| Q2:2026-27 |
104.4 |
111.1 |
| Q3:2026-27 |
|
126.3 |
|