आज, रिज़र्व बैंक ने अपने द्विमासिक मुद्रास्फीति पर घरेलू अपेक्षाओं का सर्वेक्षण (आईईएसएच)1 2 के सितम्बर 2026 दौर के परिणाम जारी किए। यह सर्वेक्षण 10-20 सितम्बर, 2026 के दौरान 19 प्रमुख शहरों में आयोजित किया गया था, जिसमें 5,987 प्रतिक्रियाएं प्राप्त हुईं।
| Table 1(a): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three Months ahead |
| (Percentage of Respondents) |
| Survey period ended |
Sep-25 |
Mar-26 |
May-26 |
Jul-26 |
Sep-26 |
| General |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
| Prices will increase |
77.8 |
0.90 |
81.6 |
0.90 |
83.5 |
0.78 |
80.7 |
0.92 |
81.9 |
0.90 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
51.5 |
1.20 |
57.2 |
1.21 |
60.4 |
1.16 |
57.1 |
1.21 |
59.0 |
1.15 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
23.1 |
0.89 |
20.9 |
0.85 |
19.7 |
0.90 |
20.8 |
0.93 |
19.3 |
0.87 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
3.1 |
0.36 |
3.6 |
0.40 |
3.4 |
0.40 |
2.8 |
0.34 |
3.6 |
0.42 |
| No changes in prices |
18.5 |
0.85 |
16.8 |
0.89 |
14.0 |
0.71 |
17.4 |
0.89 |
16.2 |
0.86 |
| Decline in prices |
3.7 |
0.43 |
1.5 |
0.24 |
2.5 |
0.32 |
1.9 |
0.28 |
1.9 |
0.26 |
| Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
79.0 |
0.90 |
83.8 |
0.75 |
85.4 |
0.73 |
84.2 |
0.77 |
84.9 |
0.78 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
51.5 |
1.22 |
59.4 |
1.16 |
60.7 |
1.13 |
60.0 |
1.16 |
61.6 |
1.03 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
22.2 |
1.00 |
18.4 |
0.81 |
18.6 |
0.83 |
18.8 |
0.88 |
17.7 |
0.77 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
5.3 |
0.45 |
6.0 |
0.52 |
6.0 |
0.52 |
5.4 |
0.46 |
5.6 |
0.50 |
| No changes in prices |
14.2 |
0.80 |
12.4 |
0.68 |
10.4 |
0.61 |
11.9 |
0.69 |
10.8 |
0.67 |
| Decline in prices |
6.8 |
0.53 |
3.8 |
0.37 |
4.1 |
0.38 |
3.9 |
0.36 |
4.3 |
0.39 |
| Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
73.4 |
0.91 |
77.6 |
0.90 |
81.1 |
0.78 |
79.3 |
0.87 |
79.4 |
0.84 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
49.4 |
1.19 |
54.0 |
1.15 |
56.8 |
1.16 |
55.4 |
1.20 |
55.8 |
1.07 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
18.7 |
0.89 |
18.1 |
0.77 |
18.7 |
0.83 |
18.8 |
0.87 |
18.4 |
0.79 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
5.3 |
0.45 |
5.5 |
0.45 |
5.6 |
0.49 |
5.0 |
0.44 |
5.2 |
0.44 |
| No changes in prices |
20.1 |
0.80 |
19.0 |
0.86 |
14.6 |
0.69 |
16.5 |
0.80 |
16.7 |
0.77 |
| Decline in prices |
6.5 |
0.54 |
3.4 |
0.34 |
4.3 |
0.40 |
4.3 |
0.40 |
3.9 |
0.37 |
| Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
67.8 |
0.97 |
65.4 |
1.00 |
68.2 |
0.97 |
67.5 |
1.02 |
69.6 |
0.99 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
49.5 |
1.16 |
44.7 |
1.11 |
46.8 |
1.14 |
46.5 |
1.14 |
49.3 |
1.08 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
14.1 |
0.69 |
15.9 |
0.69 |
16.9 |
0.79 |
16.7 |
0.77 |
16.2 |
0.69 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
4.2 |
0.39 |
4.9 |
0.44 |
4.5 |
0.42 |
4.2 |
0.40 |
4.1 |
0.40 |
| No changes in prices |
21.5 |
0.83 |
25.6 |
0.91 |
24.3 |
0.87 |
26.2 |
0.96 |
22.6 |
0.88 |
| Decline in prices |
10.7 |
0.62 |
9.0 |
0.56 |
7.5 |
0.51 |
6.3 |
0.46 |
7.7 |
0.49 |
| Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
77.1 |
0.88 |
78.4 |
0.90 |
78.3 |
0.87 |
77.9 |
0.89 |
78.4 |
0.90 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
54.9 |
1.15 |
57.8 |
1.14 |
56.3 |
1.13 |
56.7 |
1.13 |
58.8 |
1.11 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
18.9 |
0.87 |
17.0 |
0.73 |
18.0 |
0.83 |
17.5 |
0.81 |
16.3 |
0.75 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
3.4 |
0.34 |
3.6 |
0.37 |
4.0 |
0.42 |
3.6 |
0.36 |
3.3 |
0.35 |
| No changes in prices |
18.7 |
0.81 |
19.1 |
0.88 |
18.4 |
0.80 |
19.5 |
0.87 |
19.0 |
0.83 |
| Decline in prices |
4.2 |
0.41 |
2.5 |
0.30 |
3.3 |
0.36 |
2.6 |
0.29 |
2.6 |
0.32 |
| Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
66.1 |
1.00 |
69.8 |
1.01 |
71.1 |
0.92 |
68.6 |
1.03 |
69.7 |
1.00 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
46.2 |
1.17 |
48.7 |
1.14 |
49.1 |
1.16 |
48.6 |
1.14 |
49.6 |
1.11 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
15.7 |
0.72 |
17.2 |
0.72 |
17.4 |
0.80 |
16.5 |
0.78 |
16.1 |
0.71 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
4.2 |
0.40 |
3.9 |
0.37 |
4.5 |
0.47 |
3.4 |
0.35 |
3.9 |
0.36 |
| No changes in prices |
30.0 |
0.98 |
27.9 |
0.98 |
25.5 |
0.88 |
28.5 |
1.00 |
27.7 |
0.97 |
| Decline in prices |
3.8 |
0.43 |
2.3 |
0.28 |
3.4 |
0.38 |
2.9 |
0.34 |
2.7 |
0.29 |
| Note: |
| 1. The table provides estimates and standard errors (SE) for qualitative responses. |
| 2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |
| Table 1(b): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for One Year ahead |
| (Percentage of Respondents) |
| Survey period ended |
Sep-25 |
Mar-26 |
May-26 |
Jul-26 |
Sep-26 |
| General |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
| Prices will increase |
86.8 |
0.79 |
90.0 |
0.66 |
86.9 |
0.76 |
88.7 |
0.74 |
88.9 |
0.73 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
61.8 |
1.22 |
67.5 |
1.19 |
63.6 |
1.23 |
66.1 |
1.21 |
67.4 |
1.13 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
21.7 |
0.94 |
19.6 |
0.88 |
19.7 |
0.90 |
19.9 |
0.94 |
18.5 |
0.84 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
3.3 |
0.36 |
2.8 |
0.35 |
3.6 |
0.41 |
2.7 |
0.34 |
3.0 |
0.36 |
| No changes in prices |
10.0 |
0.70 |
8.3 |
0.61 |
10.1 |
0.65 |
9.0 |
0.67 |
9.2 |
0.68 |
| Decline in prices |
3.2 |
0.41 |
1.7 |
0.27 |
3.0 |
0.38 |
2.2 |
0.29 |
1.8 |
0.26 |
| Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
83.3 |
0.95 |
87.4 |
0.68 |
85.9 |
0.73 |
87.0 |
0.74 |
86.2 |
0.74 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
56.5 |
1.34 |
61.1 |
1.19 |
59.0 |
1.23 |
59.9 |
1.23 |
61.3 |
1.07 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
22.8 |
1.03 |
21.5 |
0.88 |
22.2 |
0.94 |
22.7 |
0.96 |
20.6 |
0.83 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
4.0 |
0.41 |
4.8 |
0.45 |
4.7 |
0.48 |
4.4 |
0.41 |
4.3 |
0.42 |
| No changes in prices |
11.5 |
0.80 |
9.3 |
0.60 |
9.6 |
0.59 |
9.6 |
0.67 |
9.8 |
0.64 |
| Decline in prices |
5.2 |
0.49 |
3.2 |
0.36 |
4.4 |
0.42 |
3.3 |
0.34 |
3.9 |
0.37 |
| Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
79.7 |
0.96 |
83.7 |
0.79 |
82.7 |
0.81 |
83.1 |
0.80 |
82.9 |
0.82 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
53.6 |
1.27 |
58.6 |
1.18 |
56.7 |
1.24 |
58.2 |
1.23 |
58.2 |
1.11 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
21.6 |
0.96 |
21.2 |
0.85 |
21.6 |
0.94 |
20.8 |
0.92 |
21.1 |
0.85 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
4.4 |
0.42 |
3.9 |
0.40 |
4.5 |
0.44 |
4.1 |
0.40 |
3.6 |
0.37 |
| No changes in prices |
15.4 |
0.84 |
13.4 |
0.73 |
13.1 |
0.67 |
13.5 |
0.72 |
13.2 |
0.73 |
| Decline in prices |
4.9 |
0.46 |
2.9 |
0.33 |
4.1 |
0.44 |
3.4 |
0.35 |
3.8 |
0.36 |
| Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
78.1 |
0.90 |
75.3 |
0.92 |
75.0 |
0.92 |
75.7 |
0.90 |
76.9 |
0.91 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
58.0 |
1.17 |
52.6 |
1.19 |
51.5 |
1.22 |
52.6 |
1.22 |
54.9 |
1.14 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
16.5 |
0.81 |
18.6 |
0.79 |
19.6 |
0.88 |
19.6 |
0.87 |
18.0 |
0.77 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
3.7 |
0.37 |
4.1 |
0.42 |
3.8 |
0.39 |
3.5 |
0.38 |
4.1 |
0.42 |
| No changes in prices |
14.2 |
0.72 |
18.7 |
0.80 |
18.7 |
0.81 |
18.9 |
0.82 |
17.7 |
0.83 |
| Decline in prices |
7.7 |
0.57 |
6.0 |
0.45 |
6.3 |
0.48 |
5.4 |
0.43 |
5.4 |
0.43 |
| Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
87.5 |
0.70 |
89.4 |
0.60 |
87.0 |
0.73 |
88.0 |
0.66 |
87.5 |
0.73 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
63.8 |
1.14 |
67.0 |
1.08 |
64.3 |
1.12 |
66.0 |
1.16 |
66.4 |
1.06 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
20.3 |
0.93 |
18.5 |
0.80 |
19.0 |
0.83 |
18.9 |
0.90 |
17.9 |
0.77 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
3.4 |
0.35 |
3.9 |
0.41 |
3.7 |
0.41 |
3.1 |
0.34 |
3.2 |
0.33 |
| No changes in prices |
9.1 |
0.58 |
8.9 |
0.56 |
10.1 |
0.60 |
9.6 |
0.59 |
10.2 |
0.66 |
| Decline in prices |
3.4 |
0.39 |
1.7 |
0.25 |
2.9 |
0.38 |
2.4 |
0.30 |
2.3 |
0.28 |
| Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Prices will increase |
81.2 |
0.83 |
82.6 |
0.78 |
81.3 |
0.87 |
80.7 |
0.90 |
81.5 |
0.85 |
| Price increase more than current rate |
58.4 |
1.15 |
57.2 |
1.15 |
56.4 |
1.21 |
57.0 |
1.25 |
57.9 |
1.13 |
| Price increase similar to current rate |
18.5 |
0.83 |
20.8 |
0.83 |
20.6 |
0.92 |
19.9 |
0.87 |
19.6 |
0.83 |
| Price increase less than current rate |
4.4 |
0.41 |
4.6 |
0.43 |
4.3 |
0.41 |
3.8 |
0.39 |
3.9 |
0.40 |
| No changes in prices |
15.4 |
0.77 |
15.4 |
0.75 |
15.3 |
0.77 |
16.4 |
0.83 |
16.2 |
0.79 |
| Decline in prices |
3.4 |
0.42 |
2.1 |
0.27 |
3.4 |
0.42 |
2.9 |
0.34 |
2.4 |
0.28 |
| Note: |
| 1. The table provides estimates and standard errors (SE) for qualitative responses. |
| 2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |