आज रिजर्व बैंक ने अपने द्विमासिक मुद्रास्फीति पर घरेलू अपेक्षाओं के सर्वेक्षण (IESH)1 2 के मार्च 2022 चक्र के परिणाम जारी किए। सर्वेक्षण 2 से 11 मार्च, 2022 के दौरान 19 प्रमुख शहरों3 में किया गया था। इसके परिणाम 6,033 शहरी परिवारों के प्रत्युत्तरों पर आधारित हैं।
Table 1(a): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three Months ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended |
Mar-21 |
Sep-21 |
Nov-21 |
Jan-22 |
Mar-22 |
General |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Prices will increase |
86.6 |
0.74 |
84.9 |
0.76 |
89.3 |
0.64 |
85.6 |
0.68 |
89.9 |
0.64 |
Price increase more than current rate |
58.3 |
1.14 |
61.5 |
1.14 |
66.9 |
1.16 |
61.4 |
1.07 |
67.2 |
1.27 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
24.2 |
0.94 |
19.9 |
0.88 |
19.2 |
0.94 |
20.5 |
0.87 |
19.3 |
0.96 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.1 |
0.50 |
3.5 |
0.40 |
3.3 |
0.41 |
3.7 |
0.40 |
3.5 |
0.45 |
No changes in prices |
11.1 |
0.71 |
12.9 |
0.71 |
8.2 |
0.55 |
12.0 |
0.64 |
8.6 |
0.59 |
Decline in prices |
2.3 |
0.29 |
2.2 |
0.29 |
2.5 |
0.30 |
2.4 |
0.30 |
1.5 |
0.22 |
Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
85.2 |
0.70 |
84.8 |
0.73 |
86.0 |
0.70 |
83.7 |
0.71 |
89.6 |
0.62 |
Price increase more than current rate |
61.1 |
1.01 |
61.3 |
1.08 |
63.6 |
1.16 |
61.0 |
1.01 |
68.2 |
1.14 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
18.2 |
0.81 |
18.3 |
0.80 |
17.2 |
0.82 |
17.0 |
0.78 |
16.2 |
0.88 |
Price increase less than current rate |
5.9 |
0.55 |
5.3 |
0.50 |
5.2 |
0.46 |
5.7 |
0.47 |
5.2 |
0.48 |
No changes in prices |
9.3 |
0.60 |
10.7 |
0.64 |
8.2 |
0.51 |
10.5 |
0.58 |
6.9 |
0.51 |
Decline in prices |
5.5 |
0.45 |
4.4 |
0.40 |
5.9 |
0.46 |
5.8 |
0.45 |
3.5 |
0.36 |
Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
81.0 |
0.78 |
82.1 |
0.81 |
86.3 |
0.67 |
80.4 |
0.73 |
88.4 |
0.63 |
Price increase more than current rate |
56.9 |
0.99 |
58.7 |
1.14 |
62.5 |
1.17 |
55.4 |
1.02 |
65.6 |
1.17 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
19.5 |
0.76 |
18.3 |
0.82 |
18.8 |
0.85 |
19.4 |
0.80 |
17.6 |
0.87 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.6 |
0.42 |
5.1 |
0.44 |
4.9 |
0.48 |
5.6 |
0.46 |
5.2 |
0.49 |
No changes in prices |
12.8 |
0.69 |
13.6 |
0.72 |
8.9 |
0.54 |
14.1 |
0.64 |
8.7 |
0.56 |
Decline in prices |
6.2 |
0.48 |
4.3 |
0.42 |
4.8 |
0.43 |
5.4 |
0.43 |
2.9 |
0.31 |
Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
68.1 |
0.91 |
67.3 |
0.96 |
68.6 |
0.90 |
69.9 |
0.88 |
73.5 |
0.89 |
Price increase more than current rate |
45.9 |
0.98 |
46.4 |
1.08 |
47.7 |
1.11 |
48.6 |
1.03 |
51.9 |
1.20 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
17.8 |
0.74 |
16.3 |
0.77 |
16.0 |
0.77 |
16.2 |
0.70 |
16.0 |
0.83 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.4 |
0.44 |
4.6 |
0.43 |
4.9 |
0.44 |
5.1 |
0.45 |
5.5 |
0.50 |
No changes in prices |
24.6 |
0.84 |
25.0 |
0.86 |
22.7 |
0.82 |
23.1 |
0.82 |
20.4 |
0.83 |
Decline in prices |
7.3 |
0.50 |
7.7 |
0.53 |
8.7 |
0.54 |
7.0 |
0.45 |
6.1 |
0.44 |
Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
69.0 |
0.93 |
68.8 |
0.95 |
74.3 |
0.94 |
71.5 |
0.88 |
75.8 |
0.94 |
Price increase more than current rate |
48.4 |
1.03 |
49.6 |
1.07 |
55.1 |
1.16 |
51.3 |
1.07 |
54.9 |
1.23 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
16.8 |
0.74 |
15.2 |
0.77 |
15.6 |
0.78 |
16.1 |
0.74 |
16.6 |
0.80 |
Price increase less than current rate |
3.8 |
0.40 |
3.9 |
0.42 |
3.7 |
0.39 |
4.2 |
0.42 |
4.3 |
0.40 |
No changes in prices |
22.1 |
0.85 |
21.8 |
0.85 |
19.0 |
0.82 |
21.3 |
0.80 |
18.9 |
0.86 |
Decline in prices |
8.9 |
0.54 |
9.4 |
0.58 |
6.7 |
0.50 |
7.2 |
0.48 |
5.4 |
0.46 |
Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
75.6 |
0.89 |
73.3 |
0.93 |
76.5 |
0.86 |
74.3 |
0.83 |
76.3 |
0.88 |
Price increase more than current rate |
51.6 |
1.02 |
52.1 |
1.09 |
53.9 |
1.19 |
51.6 |
1.05 |
54.5 |
1.19 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
19.5 |
0.78 |
16.9 |
0.75 |
17.6 |
0.80 |
18.0 |
0.79 |
16.8 |
0.80 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.5 |
0.44 |
4.4 |
0.41 |
5.0 |
0.49 |
4.6 |
0.43 |
5.0 |
0.47 |
No changes in prices |
20.7 |
0.84 |
23.7 |
0.90 |
20.2 |
0.80 |
22.3 |
0.78 |
21.2 |
0.86 |
Decline in prices |
3.7 |
0.36 |
3.0 |
0.33 |
3.3 |
0.34 |
3.4 |
0.34 |
2.4 |
0.29 |
Note:
1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses. |
2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |
Table 1(b): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for One Year ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended |
Mar-21 |
Sep-21 |
Nov-21 |
Jan-22 |
Mar-22 |
General |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Prices will increase |
88.6 |
0.61 |
87.6 |
0.72 |
90.4 |
0.59 |
89.6 |
0.58 |
91.5 |
0.58 |
Price increase more than current rate |
63.2 |
1.06 |
66.3 |
1.09 |
70.5 |
1.15 |
68.2 |
1.05 |
71.0 |
1.19 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
21.5 |
0.86 |
18.1 |
0.85 |
16.7 |
0.91 |
18.1 |
0.81 |
17.4 |
0.93 |
Price increase less than current rate |
3.9 |
0.44 |
3.3 |
0.36 |
3.3 |
0.39 |
3.3 |
0.39 |
3.1 |
0.41 |
No changes in prices |
8.5 |
0.54 |
9.4 |
0.61 |
6.4 |
0.46 |
7.8 |
0.50 |
6.1 |
0.48 |
Decline in prices |
2.8 |
0.32 |
3.0 |
0.35 |
3.1 |
0.35 |
2.6 |
0.29 |
2.4 |
0.29 |
Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
81.6 |
0.73 |
81.5 |
0.79 |
84.5 |
0.74 |
83.8 |
0.71 |
85.3 |
0.72 |
Price increase more than current rate |
54.5 |
1.00 |
57.2 |
1.11 |
60.2 |
1.20 |
58.2 |
1.06 |
60.9 |
1.19 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
22.2 |
0.83 |
19.6 |
0.89 |
19.9 |
0.92 |
20.4 |
0.86 |
19.6 |
0.91 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.9 |
0.45 |
4.7 |
0.45 |
4.4 |
0.42 |
5.2 |
0.45 |
4.8 |
0.47 |
No changes in prices |
12.0 |
0.61 |
11.9 |
0.65 |
9.4 |
0.57 |
10.9 |
0.61 |
9.8 |
0.59 |
Decline in prices |
6.3 |
0.45 |
6.6 |
0.47 |
6.1 |
0.47 |
5.3 |
0.40 |
5.0 |
0.41 |
Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
79.9 |
0.79 |
81.4 |
0.81 |
85.1 |
0.72 |
82.9 |
0.72 |
85.8 |
0.73 |
Price increase more than current rate |
53.8 |
1.01 |
57.8 |
1.12 |
61.7 |
1.20 |
57.5 |
1.09 |
62.4 |
1.18 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
21.5 |
0.83 |
19.5 |
0.84 |
19.0 |
0.87 |
20.5 |
0.86 |
18.9 |
0.89 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.6 |
0.43 |
4.1 |
0.40 |
4.4 |
0.45 |
4.9 |
0.44 |
4.5 |
0.44 |
No changes in prices |
13.4 |
0.66 |
13.3 |
0.71 |
9.5 |
0.56 |
12.0 |
0.61 |
9.7 |
0.60 |
Decline in prices |
6.7 |
0.47 |
5.3 |
0.42 |
5.4 |
0.43 |
5.0 |
0.41 |
4.5 |
0.40 |
Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
70.3 |
0.90 |
71.4 |
0.98 |
75.0 |
0.87 |
75.4 |
0.87 |
77.3 |
0.84 |
Price increase more than current rate |
47.1 |
0.97 |
49.3 |
1.09 |
52.3 |
1.16 |
52.1 |
1.07 |
54.1 |
1.16 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
18.9 |
0.73 |
17.5 |
0.83 |
18.2 |
0.85 |
18.7 |
0.81 |
18.3 |
0.89 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.4 |
0.42 |
4.5 |
0.45 |
4.5 |
0.45 |
4.6 |
0.45 |
4.8 |
0.48 |
No changes in prices |
22.7 |
0.80 |
22.4 |
0.89 |
18.0 |
0.75 |
18.5 |
0.77 |
17.1 |
0.74 |
Decline in prices |
7.0 |
0.48 |
6.2 |
0.46 |
7.0 |
0.48 |
6.1 |
0.44 |
5.6 |
0.43 |
Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
75.7 |
0.86 |
76.4 |
0.87 |
82.4 |
0.77 |
79.3 |
0.78 |
83.1 |
0.75 |
Price increase more than current rate |
53.7 |
1.03 |
55.1 |
1.08 |
60.6 |
1.15 |
57.0 |
1.03 |
61.1 |
1.17 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
18.4 |
0.79 |
16.8 |
0.80 |
17.9 |
0.86 |
18.1 |
0.78 |
17.6 |
0.88 |
Price increase less than current rate |
3.6 |
0.38 |
4.5 |
0.42 |
3.9 |
0.40 |
4.2 |
0.43 |
4.5 |
0.43 |
No changes in prices |
17.8 |
0.75 |
17.4 |
0.78 |
12.8 |
0.67 |
15.1 |
0.66 |
13.2 |
0.67 |
Decline in prices |
6.5 |
0.48 |
6.2 |
0.47 |
4.9 |
0.41 |
5.6 |
0.43 |
3.7 |
0.36 |
Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
81.4 |
0.74 |
79.8 |
0.84 |
83.6 |
0.73 |
82.0 |
0.75 |
83.0 |
0.79 |
Price increase more than current rate |
55.1 |
1.01 |
56.6 |
1.14 |
59.5 |
1.20 |
57.5 |
1.04 |
59.2 |
1.25 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
21.6 |
0.81 |
18.9 |
0.85 |
19.1 |
0.88 |
19.8 |
0.81 |
18.8 |
0.93 |
Price increase less than current rate |
4.7 |
0.43 |
4.3 |
0.43 |
5.0 |
0.46 |
4.6 |
0.44 |
5.0 |
0.47 |
No changes in prices |
15.1 |
0.66 |
16.6 |
0.76 |
13.3 |
0.65 |
15.1 |
0.68 |
14.1 |
0.71 |
Decline in prices |
3.5 |
0.35 |
3.6 |
0.38 |
3.1 |
0.34 |
3.0 |
0.31 |
3.0 |
0.32 |
Note:
1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses. |
2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |