Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of 36th round of its quarterly Bank Lending Survey (BLS)1, which captures qualitative assessment and expectations of major scheduled commercial banks2 on credit parameters (viz., loan demand as well as terms and conditions of loans) for major economic sectors. The latest round of the survey, which was conducted during Q1:2026-27, collected senior loan officers’ assessment of credit parameters for Q1:2026-27 and their expectations for Q2, Q3 and Q4 of 2026-27. Highlights: A. Assessment for Q1:2026-27 -
Bankers reported seasonal moderation in credit demand across the major sectors of the economy during Q1:2026-27, except for the infrastructure sector (Chart 1 and Table 1). -
Bankers’ sentiment remained same on loan terms and conditions at the aggregate level (Table 2). B. Expectations for Q2:2026-27 C.Expectations for Q3:2026-27 and Q4:2026-27
| Table 1: Sector-wise Loan Demand - Net Response3 | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q4:2025-26* | Q1:2026-27 | Q1:2026-27* | Q2:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 48.2 | 32.1 | 28.6 | 37.5 | | Agriculture | 40.0 | 28.3 | 25.0 | 35.0 | | Mining and Quarrying | 12.5 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 5.4 | | Manufacturing | 41.4 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 39.7 | | Infrastructure | 40.0 | 41.4 | 33.3 | 34.5 | | Services | 46.6 | 31.0 | 29.3 | 34.5 | | Retail/Personal | 39.3 | 19.6 | 28.6 | 41.1 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 2: Sector-wise Loan Terms and Conditions - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Assessment Period | Expectations Period | | Q4:2025-26* | Q1:2026-27 | Q1:2026-27* | Q2:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 14.8 | 14.8 | 18.5 | 16.7 | | Agriculture | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 17.2 | | Mining and Quarrying | 1.9 | -3.7 | 0.0 | -3.7 | | Manufacturing | 12.5 | 12.5 | 17.9 | 17.9 | | Infrastructure | 8.6 | 8.6 | 10.3 | 6.9 | | Services | 19.6 | 21.4 | 17.9 | 17.9 | | Retail/Personal | 23.1 | 21.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | | * Based on the previous round’s response. | | Table 3: Sector-wise Expectations for Extended Period - Net Response | | (per cent) | | Sector | Loan Demand | Loan Terms and Conditions | | Q3:2026-27 | Q4:2026-27 | Q3:2026-27 | Q4:2026-27 | | All Sectors | 39.3 | 50.0 | 22.2 | 24.1 | | Agriculture | 35.0 | 43.3 | 17.2 | 15.5 | | Mining and Quarrying | 16.7 | 18.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | | Manufacturing | 36.7 | 48.3 | 18.3 | 20.0 | | Infrastructure | 35.0 | 33.3 | 13.8 | 13.8 | | Services | 41.4 | 48.3 | 21.4 | 16.1 | | Retail/Personal | 38.3 | 36.7 | 22.4 | 17.2 | Note: Please see the attached excel file for detailed time series data. |