Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of September 2025 round of its bi-monthly urban consumer confidence survey (UCCS)1. The survey collects current perceptions (vis-à-vis a year ago) and one year ahead expectations of households on general economic situation, employment scenario, overall price situation, own income and spending across 19 major cities. The latest round of the survey was conducted during August 28 to September 06, 2025, covering 6,068 respondents. Highlights: -
On account of improved sentiments observed in most of the survey parameters, consumer confidence for the current period improved marginally. The Current Situation Index (CSI)2 rose by 0.4 points to 96.9 in September 2025 (Chart 1; Tables 1, 2, 5 and 6). -
Consumer confidence for the year ahead continue to remain in optimistic territory, indicating continued confidence in outlook. The Future Expectations Index (FEI) rose by 0.3 points to 125.0 in this round of the survey (Chart 1; Tables 1, 2, 3, 5 and 6). -
Households expect a decline in both price and inflationary pressures over the coming year although pessimism about the current price level and inflation inched up marginally. (Tables 3 and 4). -
Households’ sentiment regarding their current earning situation have been improving for the last four rounds, while the future sentiments remained range bound, with gradual uptick (Table 5). Note: Please see the excel file for time series data3 | Table 1: Perceptions and Expectations on the General Economic Situation | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 37.3 | 21.1 | 41.6 | -4.4 | 55.5 | 16.0 | 28.6 | 26.9 | | Nov-24 | 35.8 | 21.3 | 42.9 | -7.1 | 54.9 | 17.2 | 27.9 | 27.0 | | Jan-25 | 34.9 | 22.1 | 43.0 | -8.0 | 55.2 | 15.8 | 29.0 | 26.2 | | Mar-25 | 34.7 | 24.7 | 40.6 | -5.9 | 56.6 | 14.9 | 28.5 | 28.0 | | May-25 | 35.7 | 22.4 | 41.9 | -6.2 | 57.9 | 13.4 | 28.7 | 29.2 | | Jul-25 | 34.2 | 27.5 | 38.3 | -4.2 | 55.7 | 20.9 | 23.4 | 32.3 | | Sep-25 | 37.0 | 22.1 | 40.9 | -3.9 | 57.9 | 16.8 | 25.3 | 32.6 | | Table 2: Perceptions and Expectations on Employment | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 35.5 | 21.8 | 42.8 | -7.3 | 54.2 | 18.9 | 26.9 | 27.3 | | Nov-24 | 34.6 | 23.0 | 42.4 | -7.8 | 54.6 | 18.9 | 26.5 | 28.1 | | Jan-25 | 34.5 | 22.7 | 42.7 | -8.2 | 54.7 | 18.3 | 27.0 | 27.6 | | Mar-25 | 35.5 | 23.0 | 41.5 | -6.1 | 56.4 | 16.5 | 27.1 | 29.3 | | May-25 | 36.2 | 21.8 | 42.1 | -5.9 | 56.9 | 16.1 | 27.0 | 29.8 | | Jul-25 | 32.6 | 28.2 | 39.2 | -6.7 | 53.6 | 23.8 | 22.6 | 31.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.3 | 23.2 | 41.5 | -6.2 | 56.6 | 18.3 | 25.1 | 31.5 | | Table 3: Perceptions and Expectations on Price Level | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 93.3 | 5.8 | 0.9 | -92.4 | 82.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 | -73.3 | | Nov-24 | 94.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | -93.6 | 82.3 | 9.2 | 8.5 | -73.8 | | Jan-25 | 93.0 | 6.1 | 0.9 | -92.0 | 83.0 | 9.2 | 7.9 | -75.1 | | Mar-25 | 91.0 | 7.8 | 1.3 | -89.7 | 82.2 | 9.4 | 8.4 | -73.8 | | May-25 | 90.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | -88.5 | 82.5 | 8.1 | 9.4 | -73.1 | | Jul-25 | 90.3 | 6.4 | 3.3 | -87.0 | 81.6 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -72.4 | | Sep-25 | 89.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | -87.3 | 81.0 | 9.1 | 9.9 | -71.1 | | Table 4: Perceptions and Expectations on Rate of Change in Price Level (Inflation)* | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 80.7 | 13.0 | 6.2 | -74.5 | 78.7 | 15.9 | 5.4 | -73.4 | | Nov-24 | 82.5 | 12.1 | 5.4 | -77.2 | 79.3 | 15.1 | 5.7 | -73.6 | | Jan-25 | 80.7 | 12.9 | 6.5 | -74.2 | 79.9 | 14.5 | 5.7 | -74.2 | | Mar-25 | 79.4 | 14.0 | 6.7 | -72.7 | 78.5 | 15.0 | 6.5 | -72.0 | | May-25 | 78.0 | 14.8 | 7.2 | -70.7 | 78.1 | 14.7 | 7.2 | -70.8 | | Jul-25 | 78.7 | 12.5 | 8.7 | -70.0 | 79.7 | 10.9 | 9.4 | -70.3 | | Sep-25 | 77.8 | 14.7 | 7.6 | -70.2 | 78.0 | 13.0 | 9.1 | -68.9 | | *Applicable only for those respondents who felt price has increased/price will increase. | | Table 5: Perceptions and Expectations on Income | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 24.1 | 51.6 | 24.3 | -0.3 | 55.8 | 38.2 | 6.0 | 49.9 | | Nov-24 | 23.8 | 51.7 | 24.5 | -0.7 | 56.6 | 37.1 | 6.4 | 50.2 | | Jan-25 | 22.0 | 55.0 | 23.0 | -1.0 | 55.9 | 37.4 | 6.8 | 49.1 | | Mar-25 | 23.8 | 53.0 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 57.5 | 36.0 | 6.5 | 51.0 | | May-25 | 24.1 | 52.2 | 23.7 | 0.4 | 58.0 | 36.3 | 5.7 | 52.3 | | Jul-25 | 22.7 | 56.7 | 20.6 | 2.1 | 57.0 | 38.6 | 4.4 | 52.6 | | Sep-25 | 27.0 | 49.2 | 23.8 | 3.2 | 59.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 53.0 | | Table 6: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 80.4 | 16.9 | 2.7 | 77.6 | 79.6 | 16.9 | 3.6 | 76.0 | | Nov-24 | 80.9 | 17.2 | 1.9 | 79.0 | 80.8 | 16.4 | 2.8 | 78.0 | | Jan-25 | 79.3 | 19.4 | 1.3 | 77.9 | 78.8 | 18.3 | 2.9 | 75.9 | | Mar-25 | 80.1 | 18.8 | 1.2 | 78.9 | 79.6 | 18.0 | 2.4 | 77.2 | | May-25 | 78.7 | 19.9 | 1.4 | 77.3 | 81.1 | 16.4 | 2.5 | 78.6 | | Jul-25 | 80.2 | 17.7 | 2.2 | 78.0 | 81.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | | Sep-25 | 81.4 | 15.7 | 2.9 | 78.5 | 82.1 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 79.1 | | Table 7: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending- Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 87.9 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 86.2 | 84.9 | 12.4 | 2.7 | 82.2 | | Nov-24 | 88.6 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 86.9 | 85.9 | 11.5 | 2.6 | 83.3 | | Jan-25 | 87.6 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 86.0 | 85.1 | 12.3 | 2.6 | 82.5 | | Mar-25 | 87.4 | 12.0 | 0.6 | 86.9 | 86.2 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 84.4 | | May-25 | 87.5 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 86.1 | 86.9 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 85.1 | | Jul-25 | 87.5 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 86.5 | 87.1 | 12.0 | 0.9 | 86.2 | | Sep-25 | 88.6 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 86.7 | 87.3 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 85.6 | | Table 8: Perceptions and Expectations on Spending - Non-Essential Items | | (Percentage responses) | | Survey Round | Current Perception | One year ahead Expectation | | Increased | Remained Same | Decreased | Net Response | Will Increase | Will Remain Same | Will Decrease | Net Response | | Sep-24 | 27.6 | 40.2 | 32.3 | -4.7 | 36.4 | 37.8 | 25.8 | 10.6 | | Nov-24 | 30.2 | 37.2 | 32.6 | -2.4 | 38.4 | 35.0 | 26.6 | 11.8 | | Jan-25 | 29.2 | 38.5 | 32.3 | -3.1 | 37.4 | 36.1 | 26.5 | 11.0 | | Mar-25 | 28.5 | 40.9 | 30.7 | -2.2 | 37.7 | 37.7 | 24.6 | 13.1 | | May-25 | 27.8 | 41.1 | 31.2 | -3.4 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 24.5 | 13.8 | | Jul-25 | 37.6 | 25.1 | 37.3 | 0.4 | 43.6 | 27.7 | 28.7 | 15.0 | | Sep-25 | 35.5 | 30.4 | 34.1 | 1.4 | 39.8 | 35.8 | 24.5 | 15.3 | |