Today, the Reserve Bank released the results of the November 2019 round of the Inflation Expectations Survey of Households (IESH)1. The survey was conducted in 18 major cities and the results are based on responses from 5,805 urban households. Highlights: i. Households’ inflation perceptions and expectations increased sharply in the November 2019 round on top of the pick-up in the previous round. Three months ahead and one year ahead median inflation expectations increased by 120 basis points and 180 basis points, respectively (Chart 1a, 1b, Table 2). ii. More households expect higher inflation across all product groups over both three months ahead and one year ahead horizons vis-à-vis the previous round of the survey (Table 1b). Note: Please see the excel file for time series data. Table 1(a): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three Months ahead | (Percentage of Respondents) | Survey period ended | Nov-18 | May-19 | Jul-19 | Sep-19 | Nov-19 | General | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Prices will increase | 77.9 | 0.91 | 78.3 | 1.01 | 77.9 | 0.95 | 79.3 | 0.94 | 80.7 | 0.90 | Price increase more than current rate | 47.4 | 1.12 | 50.0 | 1.22 | 49.8 | 1.15 | 49.0 | 1.23 | 52.4 | 1.22 | Price increase similar to current rate | 25.6 | 1.00 | 25.6 | 1.01 | 24.7 | 0.98 | 25.1 | 1.04 | 23.4 | 0.96 | Price increase less than current rate | 4.9 | 0.59 | 2.8 | 0.32 | 3.4 | 0.38 | 5.2 | 0.51 | 4.9 | 0.55 | No changes in prices | 19.2 | 0.87 | 18.4 | 0.96 | 18.5 | 0.88 | 18.6 | 0.92 | 17.3 | 0.84 | Decline in prices | 2.9 | 0.33 | 3.3 | 0.35 | 3.6 | 0.39 | 2.1 | 0.29 | 1.9 | 0.26 | Food Product | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 77.2 | 0.89 | 78.5 | 0.87 | 80.0 | 0.87 | 81.4 | 0.86 | 81.8 | 0.80 | Price increase more than current rate | 46.4 | 1.03 | 48.5 | 1.13 | 48.5 | 1.09 | 52.9 | 1.14 | 54.8 | 1.14 | Price increase similar to current rate | 23.6 | 0.91 | 24.7 | 0.94 | 25.7 | 1.01 | 21.4 | 0.88 | 21.0 | 0.85 | Price increase less than current rate | 7.3 | 0.63 | 5.4 | 0.46 | 5.8 | 0.47 | 7.1 | 0.59 | 6.0 | 0.54 | No changes in prices | 16.9 | 0.81 | 15.0 | 0.77 | 13.8 | 0.75 | 13.2 | 0.78 | 12.3 | 0.65 | Decline in prices | 5.9 | 0.46 | 6.5 | 0.47 | 6.2 | 0.52 | 5.4 | 0.45 | 5.9 | 0.48 | Non- Food Product | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 75.8 | 0.90 | 75.8 | 0.91 | 73.8 | 0.97 | 74.7 | 0.95 | 75.3 | 0.93 | Price increase more than current rate | 45.2 | 1.07 | 45.2 | 1.15 | 43.1 | 1.14 | 45.5 | 1.16 | 48.0 | 1.14 | Price increase similar to current rate | 24.1 | 0.94 | 25.3 | 0.91 | 25.2 | 0.93 | 21.8 | 0.90 | 21.1 | 0.86 | Price increase less than current rate | 6.5 | 0.61 | 5.4 | 0.44 | 5.5 | 0.46 | 7.3 | 0.57 | 6.1 | 0.53 | No changes in prices | 18.5 | 0.79 | 18.1 | 0.81 | 20.4 | 0.90 | 20.8 | 0.88 | 20.5 | 0.83 | Decline in prices | 5.8 | 0.48 | 6.0 | 0.47 | 5.8 | 0.48 | 4.5 | 0.42 | 4.3 | 0.39 | Household Durables | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 57.9 | 1.06 | 61.3 | 1.12 | 57.9 | 1.07 | 56.2 | 1.07 | 55.2 | 1.09 | Price increase more than current rate | 33.8 | 1.03 | 37.0 | 1.12 | 33.7 | 1.05 | 33.9 | 1.11 | 35.4 | 1.06 | Price increase similar to current rate | 18.9 | 0.80 | 19.9 | 0.85 | 19.6 | 0.81 | 17.3 | 0.80 | 15.2 | 0.73 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.2 | 0.50 | 4.3 | 0.41 | 4.6 | 0.41 | 4.9 | 0.45 | 4.6 | 0.44 | No changes in prices | 29.7 | 0.98 | 27.2 | 1.01 | 28.2 | 0.96 | 28.5 | 0.96 | 29.1 | 0.93 | Decline in prices | 12.4 | 0.66 | 11.5 | 0.64 | 13.9 | 0.67 | 15.4 | 0.73 | 15.8 | 0.73 | Cost of Housing | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 68.7 | 0.96 | 70.9 | 1.06 | 68.6 | 1.01 | 68.1 | 1.10 | 68.5 | 1.09 | Price increase more than current rate | 44.5 | 1.05 | 46.9 | 1.13 | 45.2 | 1.04 | 45.2 | 1.23 | 48.3 | 1.19 | Price increase similar to current rate | 19.0 | 0.83 | 19.8 | 0.83 | 19.4 | 0.82 | 17.9 | 0.81 | 16.4 | 0.77 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.2 | 0.51 | 4.2 | 0.39 | 4.0 | 0.38 | 5.0 | 0.44 | 3.8 | 0.41 | No changes in prices | 23.7 | 0.88 | 21.7 | 0.96 | 22.8 | 0.90 | 23.1 | 0.98 | 24.0 | 0.99 | Decline in prices | 7.6 | 0.54 | 7.3 | 0.52 | 8.6 | 0.58 | 8.7 | 0.59 | 7.4 | 0.53 | Cost of Services | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 68.2 | 0.99 | 68.6 | 1.03 | 66.1 | 1.03 | 63.5 | 1.04 | 65.8 | 1.05 | Price increase more than current rate | 40.4 | 1.06 | 42.6 | 1.14 | 39.8 | 1.07 | 40.2 | 1.15 | 43.6 | 1.14 | Price increase similar to current rate | 22.4 | 0.86 | 21.7 | 0.89 | 21.6 | 0.83 | 18.1 | 0.76 | 17.7 | 0.79 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.3 | 0.48 | 4.3 | 0.41 | 4.7 | 0.42 | 5.3 | 0.45 | 4.5 | 0.46 | No changes in prices | 28.8 | 0.97 | 27.7 | 0.99 | 28.7 | 0.94 | 31.6 | 1.00 | 29.5 | 1.01 | Decline in prices | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.8 | 0.37 | 5.3 | 0.46 | 4.8 | 0.42 | 4.7 | 0.43 | Note: 1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses. 2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. | Table 1(b): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for One Year ahead | (Percentage of Respondents) | Survey period ended | Nov-18 | May-19 | Jul-19 | Sep-19 | Nov-19 | General | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Prices will increase | 89.7 | 0.65 | 86.3 | 0.77 | 83.8 | 0.87 | 87.0 | 0.78 | 89.1 | 0.71 | Price increase more than current rate | 60.0 | 1.11 | 58.5 | 1.19 | 56.8 | 1.15 | 57.3 | 1.29 | 64.0 | 1.25 | Price increase similar to current rate | 26.4 | 0.97 | 24.9 | 1.03 | 24.1 | 1.01 | 25.1 | 1.07 | 21.5 | 0.96 | Price increase less than current rate | 3.4 | 0.43 | 3.0 | 0.32 | 2.9 | 0.35 | 4.6 | 0.47 | 3.6 | 0.44 | No changes in prices | 7.6 | 0.57 | 10.2 | 0.70 | 12.6 | 0.78 | 10.6 | 0.73 | 8.9 | 0.64 | Decline in prices | 2.7 | 0.33 | 3.5 | 0.37 | 3.6 | 0.40 | 2.4 | 0.31 | 2.0 | 0.28 | Food Product | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 85.4 | 0.73 | 83.1 | 0.76 | 81.9 | 0.80 | 83.0 | 0.86 | 86.2 | 0.74 | Price increase more than current rate | 52.3 | 1.14 | 50.4 | 1.19 | 49.3 | 1.16 | 52.2 | 1.23 | 58.9 | 1.24 | Price increase similar to current rate | 27.5 | 0.96 | 27.6 | 0.97 | 27.7 | 0.98 | 25.4 | 0.96 | 22.4 | 0.90 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.7 | 0.51 | 5.1 | 0.43 | 4.8 | 0.42 | 5.4 | 0.53 | 5.0 | 0.49 | No changes in prices | 9.4 | 0.60 | 11.4 | 0.64 | 12.0 | 0.67 | 11.9 | 0.76 | 9.4 | 0.61 | Decline in prices | 5.2 | 0.45 | 5.5 | 0.43 | 6.1 | 0.49 | 5.2 | 0.43 | 4.4 | 0.39 | Non- Food Product | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 82.4 | 0.78 | 81.3 | 0.81 | 78.1 | 0.89 | 78.6 | 0.94 | 81.0 | 0.82 | Price increase more than current rate | 51.6 | 1.10 | 49.7 | 1.18 | 46.1 | 1.11 | 48.1 | 1.25 | 53.5 | 1.23 | Price increase similar to current rate | 25.2 | 0.90 | 26.8 | 0.99 | 27.1 | 0.97 | 24.4 | 0.98 | 22.6 | 0.92 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.6 | 0.50 | 4.9 | 0.44 | 4.9 | 0.44 | 6.1 | 0.52 | 4.9 | 0.51 | No changes in prices | 12.7 | 0.68 | 13.7 | 0.72 | 16.6 | 0.80 | 16.6 | 0.85 | 15.5 | 0.72 | Decline in prices | 4.9 | 0.43 | 5.0 | 0.43 | 5.3 | 0.47 | 4.8 | 0.43 | 3.6 | 0.36 | Household Durables | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 70.1 | 0.98 | 68.8 | 1.04 | 66.2 | 1.01 | 64.1 | 1.04 | 65.4 | 1.00 | Price increase more than current rate | 43.0 | 1.10 | 42.9 | 1.14 | 39.8 | 1.08 | 39.0 | 1.17 | 42.7 | 1.16 | Price increase similar to current rate | 22.0 | 0.88 | 21.9 | 0.88 | 22.0 | 0.91 | 19.4 | 0.82 | 18.1 | 0.80 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.1 | 0.47 | 4.0 | 0.40 | 4.3 | 0.39 | 5.6 | 0.49 | 4.6 | 0.46 | No changes in prices | 20.4 | 0.85 | 21.5 | 0.91 | 23.0 | 0.89 | 24.2 | 0.90 | 22.5 | 0.84 | Decline in prices | 9.6 | 0.61 | 9.7 | 0.59 | 10.9 | 0.61 | 11.8 | 0.64 | 12.1 | 0.62 | Cost of Housing | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 80.6 | 0.79 | 79.8 | 0.84 | 76.9 | 0.89 | 77.3 | 0.89 | 80.0 | 0.92 | Price increase more than current rate | 53.8 | 1.04 | 54.3 | 1.05 | 52.1 | 1.00 | 51.8 | 1.15 | 57.1 | 1.20 | Price increase similar to current rate | 22.5 | 0.91 | 21.9 | 0.84 | 21.5 | 0.83 | 20.6 | 0.85 | 19.1 | 0.85 | Price increase less than current rate | 4.3 | 0.44 | 3.6 | 0.37 | 3.4 | 0.34 | 4.8 | 0.45 | 3.9 | 0.41 | No changes in prices | 13.3 | 0.68 | 14.3 | 0.77 | 15.3 | 0.75 | 15.5 | 0.73 | 13.9 | 0.76 | Decline in prices | 6.1 | 0.50 | 5.9 | 0.45 | 7.8 | 0.55 | 7.2 | 0.53 | 6.1 | 0.48 | Cost of Services | | | | | | | | | | | Prices will increase | 83.3 | 0.75 | 80.9 | 0.83 | 77.1 | 0.93 | 79.0 | 0.93 | 80.9 | 0.87 | Price increase more than current rate | 52.2 | 1.11 | 50.3 | 1.12 | 47.2 | 1.12 | 50.0 | 1.23 | 53.7 | 1.23 | Price increase similar to current rate | 25.7 | 0.92 | 25.3 | 0.94 | 25.2 | 0.95 | 22.7 | 0.93 | 22.3 | 0.86 | Price increase less than current rate | 5.4 | 0.48 | 5.3 | 0.49 | 4.6 | 0.43 | 6.3 | 0.51 | 4.9 | 0.51 | No changes in prices | 13.5 | 0.68 | 15.5 | 0.77 | 17.8 | 0.82 | 17.2 | 0.85 | 15.9 | 0.77 | Decline in prices | 3.1 | 0.34 | 3.6 | 0.36 | 5.2 | 0.47 | 3.8 | 0.38 | 3.2 | 0.36 | Note: 1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses. 2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. | Table 2: Inflation Expectations of Various Groups: November 2019 | | Current Perception | Three Months ahead Expectation | One Year ahead Expectation | Mean | Median | Mean | Median | Mean | Median | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Overall | 9.1 | 0.10 | 8.2 | 0.17 | 9.8 | 0.11 | 9.2 | 0.23 | 9.7 | 0.12 | 9.9 | 0.19 | Gender-wise | | | | | | | | | | | | | Male | 9.1 | 0.13 | 8.3 | 0.19 | 9.7 | 0.14 | 9.3 | 0.29 | 9.4 | 0.18 | 9.4 | 0.36 | Female | 9.1 | 0.15 | 8.2 | 0.24 | 9.9 | 0.15 | 9.1 | 0.28 | 9.9 | 0.17 | 10.1 | 0.18 | Category-wise | | | | | | | | | | | | | Financial Sector Employees | 7.9 | 0.37 | 7.3 | 0.51 | 8.4 | 0.41 | 7.7 | 0.64 | 8.5 | 0.47 | 8.3 | 0.49 | Other Employees | 9.0 | 0.20 | 8.4 | 0.29 | 9.7 | 0.21 | 9.1 | 0.40 | 10.0 | 0.22 | 10.0 | 0.33 | Self Employed | 9.5 | 0.20 | 9.1 | 0.47 | 10.1 | 0.21 | 10.0 | 0.28 | 9.7 | 0.26 | 10.0 | 0.33 | Homemaker | 9.1 | 0.17 | 8.3 | 0.25 | 10.0 | 0.17 | 9.3 | 0.33 | 9.9 | 0.20 | 10.1 | 0.18 | Retired Persons | 9.6 | 0.33 | 9.6 | 0.67 | 10.3 | 0.36 | 10.1 | 0.34 | 9.8 | 0.45 | 10.0 | 0.44 | Daily Workers | 9.4 | 0.26 | 8.9 | 0.53 | 10.4 | 0.27 | 10.2 | 0.26 | 9.8 | 0.34 | 10.2 | 0.29 | Other category | 8.4 | 0.24 | 7.6 | 0.32 | 9.2 | 0.24 | 8.5 | 0.33 | 9.4 | 0.27 | 9.0 | 0.40 | Age Group-wise | | | | | | | | | | | | | Up to 25 years | 8.4 | 0.18 | 7.7 | 0.24 | 9.1 | 0.19 | 8.6 | 0.28 | 9.5 | 0.23 | 9.4 | 0.38 | 25 to 30 years | 9.0 | 0.18 | 8.1 | 0.31 | 9.8 | 0.19 | 9.1 | 0.34 | 9.9 | 0.22 | 9.9 | 0.30 | 30 to 35 years | 8.8 | 0.20 | 8.0 | 0.33 | 9.6 | 0.21 | 8.8 | 0.37 | 9.5 | 0.25 | 9.9 | 0.32 | 35 to 40 years | 9.3 | 0.20 | 8.6 | 0.36 | 10.1 | 0.20 | 9.6 | 0.37 | 9.8 | 0.26 | 10.1 | 0.24 | 40 to 45 years | 9.1 | 0.24 | 8.3 | 0.29 | 9.8 | 0.25 | 9.2 | 0.41 | 9.5 | 0.29 | 9.7 | 0.46 | 45 to 50 years | 9.3 | 0.26 | 8.6 | 0.58 | 10.1 | 0.27 | 9.8 | 0.47 | 9.7 | 0.32 | 9.8 | 0.51 | 50 to 55 years | 9.4 | 0.27 | 8.6 | 0.51 | 10.2 | 0.28 | 9.8 | 0.52 | 9.6 | 0.35 | 9.8 | 0.67 | 55 to 60 years | 9.7 | 0.31 | 9.6 | 0.55 | 10.4 | 0.33 | 10.1 | 0.33 | 10.1 | 0.39 | 10.4 | 0.24 | 60 years and above | 9.4 | 0.30 | 8.8 | 0.55 | 10.1 | 0.30 | 9.9 | 0.47 | 9.4 | 0.39 | 9.7 | 0.69 | City-wise | | | | | | | | | | | | | Ahmedabad | 9.8 | 0.29 | 9.8 | 0.46 | 10.6 | 0.32 | 10.3 | 0.29 | 10.1 | 0.41 | 10.4 | 0.33 | Bengaluru | 7.1 | 0.37 | 5.8 | 0.26 | 8.3 | 0.37 | 7.3 | 0.45 | 8.6 | 0.39 | 8.0 | 0.48 | Bhopal | 8.0 | 0.63 | 6.5 | 0.71 | 9.1 | 0.66 | 8.4 | 0.91 | 9.3 | 0.64 | 9.5 | 0.90 | Bhubaneswar | 7.3 | 0.65 | 6.1 | 0.53 | 8.1 | 0.71 | 7.2 | 0.85 | 7.3 | 1.51 | 7.2 | 2.10 | Chennai | 10.4 | 0.55 | 10.1 | 0.52 | 11.3 | 0.56 | 11.0 | 0.99 | 11.9 | 0.42 | 12.8 | 1.36 | Delhi | 8.2 | 0.20 | 7.1 | 0.38 | 8.9 | 0.22 | 8.0 | 0.34 | 9.1 | 0.26 | 8.8 | 0.49 | Guwahati | 6.8 | 0.77 | 6.0 | 0.54 | 6.9 | 0.83 | 6.0 | 0.66 | 7.0 | 1.17 | 6.7 | 1.07 | Hyderabad | 11.0 | 0.47 | 10.8 | 0.57 | 12.2 | 0.43 | 13.0 | 1.10 | 12.7 | 0.36 | 14.7 | 0.92 | Jaipur | 8.4 | 0.38 | 7.7 | 0.40 | 8.9 | 0.39 | 8.2 | 0.47 | 8.4 | 0.71 | 8.6 | 0.76 | Kolkata | 9.8 | 0.30 | 9.1 | 0.68 | 10.4 | 0.32 | 9.9 | 0.48 | 10.5 | 0.34 | 10.1 | 0.55 | Lucknow | 10.4 | 0.52 | 10.2 | 0.48 | 11.2 | 0.65 | 11.5 | 1.27 | 10.3 | 0.88 | 11.0 | 1.42 | Mumbai | 10.0 | 0.25 | 9.8 | 0.37 | 10.3 | 0.33 | 10.2 | 0.31 | 9.1 | 0.41 | 9.9 | 0.53 | Nagpur | 8.8 | 0.55 | 7.5 | 0.77 | 10.1 | 0.46 | 9.3 | 0.69 | 10.3 | 0.56 | 10.1 | 0.44 | Patna | 7.1 | 0.29 | 6.9 | 0.44 | 7.5 | 0.33 | 7.3 | 0.47 | 7.7 | 0.45 | 7.8 | 0.57 | Thiruvananthapuram | 6.4 | 0.45 | 5.6 | 0.33 | 7.9 | 0.60 | 6.9 | 0.68 | 9.8 | 0.67 | 9.1 | 0.89 | Chandigarh | 8.7 | 0.86 | 8.1 | 1.02 | 8.8 | 0.74 | 8.5 | 0.80 | 8.7 | 0.79 | 8.5 | 0.89 | Ranchi | 6.5 | 0.55 | 5.8 | 0.42 | 6.2 | 0.59 | 5.8 | 0.61 | 5.9 | 1.11 | 5.8 | 0.97 | Raipur | 9.0 | 0.63 | 8.0 | 1.13 | 9.3 | 0.66 | 8.3 | 1.14 | 7.2 | 0.76 | 6.5 | 1.05 | Note: The table provides estimates and standard errors for quantitative responses for the November 2019 round. | Table 3: Household Inflation Expectations – Current Perception, Three Months and One Year Ahead Expectations | | Current Perception | Three Months ahead Expectation | One Year ahead Expectation | Mean | Median | Mean | Median | Mean | Median | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Nov-18 | 9.1 | 0.11 | 8.2 | 0.18 | 9.7 | 0.12 | 9 | 0.22 | 9.6 | 0.12 | 9.8 | 0.25 | May-19 | 7.8 | 0.10 | 6.6 | 0.15 | 8.6 | 0.10 | 7.6 | 0.12 | 8.4 | 0.12 | 8.1 | 0.16 | Jul-19 | 7.9 | 0.10 | 6.6 | 0.15 | 8.6 | 0.10 | 7.6 | 0.12 | 8.3 | 0.13 | 7.9 | 0.18 | Sep-19 | 8.2 | 0.12 | 7.1 | 0.18 | 8.9 | 0.12 | 8 | 0.15 | 8.6 | 0.13 | 8.1 | 0.19 | Nov-19 | 9.1 | 0.10 | 8.2 | 0.17 | 9.8 | 0.11 | 9.2 | 0.23 | 9.7 | 0.12 | 9.9 | 0.19 | Note: The table provides estimates and standard errors for quantitative responses. | Table 4: Households Expecting General Price Movements in Coherence with Movements in Price Expectations of Various Product Groups: Three Months Ahead and One Year Ahead | (Percentage of Respondents) | Survey period ended | Food | Non-Food | Households durables | Housing | Cost of services | Three Months Ahead | Nov-18 | 65.6 | 66.8 | 56.5 | 61.4 | 66.2 | May-19 | 66.4 | 65.4 | 56.8 | 62.0 | 66.2 | Jul-19 | 66.1 | 65.5 | 55.3 | 60.8 | 65.0 | Sep-19 | 62.7 | 62.1 | 50.2 | 56.8 | 61.2 | Nov-19 | 64.7 | 65.1 | 51.0 | 60.7 | 63.1 | One Year Ahead | Nov-18 | 73.5 | 72.3 | 62.7 | 67.7 | 73.2 | May-19 | 71.6 | 71.3 | 62.7 | 70.7 | 72.5 | Jul-19 | 72.3 | 71.2 | 61.5 | 70.0 | 72.4 | Sep-19 | 70.7 | 67.5 | 56.8 | 65.5 | 70.0 | Nov-19 | 73.9 | 70.9 | 57.8 | 69.7 | 72.3 | Note: Figures are based on sample observations | Table 5(a): Cross-tabulation of Number of Respondents by Current Inflation Perception and Three Months Ahead Inflation Expectations: November 2019 | Three Months Ahead Inflation Rate (per cent) | Current Inflation Rate (per cent) | | <1 | 1- <2 | 2- <3 | 3- <4 | 4- <5 | 5- <6 | 6- <7 | 7- <8 | 8- <9 | 9- <10 | 10- <11 | 11- <12 | 12- <13 | 13- <14 | 14- <15 | 15- <16 | >=16 | No idea | Total | <1 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1-<2 | 2 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 2-<3 | 3 | 7 | 96 | 52 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 3-<4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 124 | 55 | 48 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 4-<5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 160 | 87 | 55 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 350 | 5-<6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 16 | 509 | 172 | 196 | 85 | 14 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1128 | 6-<7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 199 | 73 | 65 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 383 | 7-<8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 185 | 105 | 69 | 51 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 447 | 8-<9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 159 | 81 | 99 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 399 | 9-<10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 51 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 10-<11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 6 | 426 | 67 | 149 | 46 | 12 | 163 | 65 | 3 | 1024 | 11-<12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 12-<13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 99 | 13-<14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 14-<15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 35 | 15-<16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 103 | 1 | 201 | >=16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 857 | 13 | 913 | Total | 23 | 48 | 161 | 234 | 283 | 718 | 477 | 491 | 450 | 273 | 742 | 120 | 247 | 77 | 51 | 330 | 1060 | 20 | 5805 | Note: Figures are based on sample observations | Table 5(b): Cross-tabulation of Number of Respondents by Current Inflation Perception and One Year Ahead Inflation Expectations: November 2019 | One Year Ahead Inflation Rate (per cent) | Current Inflation Rate (per cent) | | <1 | 1- <2 | 2- <3 | 3- <4 | 4- <5 | 5- <6 | 6- <7 | 7- <8 | 8- <9 | 9- <10 | 10- <11 | 11- <12 | 12- <13 | 13- <14 | 14- <15 | 15- <16 | >=16 | No idea | Total | <1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1-<2 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 2-<3 | 39 | 3 | 49 | 38 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 3-<4 | 42 | 0 | 4 | 58 | 44 | 58 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 4-<5 | 45 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 86 | 53 | 79 | 29 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 350 | 5-<6 | 123 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 286 | 126 | 197 | 102 | 32 | 161 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 1128 | 6-<7 | 50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 115 | 55 | 70 | 17 | 45 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 383 | 7-<8 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 106 | 88 | 56 | 93 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 447 | 8-<9 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 84 | 49 | 126 | 17 | 37 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 399 | 9-<10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 39 | 20 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 187 | 10-<11 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 264 | 46 | 108 | 43 | 26 | 239 | 149 | 2 | 1024 | 11-<12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 66 | 12-<13 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 | 0 | 99 | 13-<14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 33 | 14-<15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 35 | 15-<16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 55 | 131 | 0 | 201 | >=16 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 793 | 10 | 913 | Total | 635 | 26 | 89 | 124 | 179 | 462 | 370 | 413 | 391 | 227 | 755 | 117 | 236 | 88 | 79 | 430 | 1167 | 17 | 5805 | Note: Figures are based on sample observations | 1 The survey is conducted at bi-monthly intervals by the Reserve Bank of India. It provides directional information on near-term inflationary pressures as expected by the respondents and may reflect their own consumption patterns. Hence, they should be treated as households’ sentiments on inflation. |