| Forword |
| List of Abbreviations |
| Overview |
| Chapter I : Macro-Financial Risks |
| Global backdrop |
| Domestic macro-economic challenges |
| Corporate sector |
| Chapter II : Financial Institutions: Soundness and Resilience |
| Scheduled commercial banks |
| Performance |
| Resilience - Stress tests |
| Risks |
| Scheduled urban co-operative banks |
| Performance |
| Resilience - Stress tests |
| Non-banking financial companies |
| Performance |
| Resilience - Stress tests |
| Interconnectedness |
| Chapter III : Financial Sector Regulation |
| International regulatory reform agenda |
| Domestic financial system |
| Banking sector |
| Financial inclusion |
| Securities market |
| Insurance sector |
| Pension sector |
| Financial safety nets: Deposit insurance |
| Financial market infrastructure |
| Financial stability and development council |
| Annex 1: Systemic Risk Survey |
| Annex 2: Methodologies |
| LIST OF BOXES |
| 1.1 In search of some old wisdom |
| 2.1 Systemic risk measurement based on equity price returns |
| 3.1 Implications of ‘disruptions’ – ‘Blockchain’ technology |
| 3.2 Recent regulatory initiatives on asset quality |
| 3.3 Some key implications of implementation of Ind AS 109 by Indian Banks |
| 3.4 Payment banks and small finance banks |
| 3.5 SEBI Framework for fund raising by start-ups |
| LIST OF CHARTS |
| 1.1 Currency composition of official foreign exchange reserves |
| 1.2 Share of various currencies in world payments |
| 1.3 Terms of trade losses and inflationary pressures |
| 1.4 Global GDP growth and EMDE-AE growth differential |
| 1.5 Growth in emerging market corporate earnings and world trade volume |
| 1.6 Select macroeconomic indicators |
| 1.7 Depreciation of EM currencies – Taper tantrum versus May- November, 2015 |
| 1.8 Plan expenditure under capital account and improved fiscal space |
| 1.9 Sluggish consumption |
| 1.10 Agricultural exports and global commodity prices |
| 1.11 Trends in exports and imports |
| 1.12 IIP- y-o-y growth rate and 3-month moving average |
| 1.13 Current account, capital account and private transfers |
| 1.14 Short-term external debt stock and volatile capital flows |
| 1.15 Short-term debt to foreign exchange reserves- Cross-country comparison |
| 1.16 Volatile capital flows to foreign exchange reserves- Cross-country comparison |
| 1.17 Corporate performance of NGNF listed companies |
| 1.18 NGNF listed companies: Weak companies – current trend (2013-14 to 2015-16) |
| 1.19 Risk profiles of select industries |
| 1.20 Indicators of corporate sector performance: Size-wise classification |
| 1.21 NGNF weak companies |
| 2.1 Credit and deposit growth: y-o-y basis |
| 2.2 Sectoral share of credit in total credit |
| 2.3 Capital adequacy |
| 2.4 Leverage ratio of SCBs |
| 2.5 Asset quality of SCBs |
| 2.6 NNPAs of SCBs |
| 2.7 Distribution of SCBs based on stressed advances ratio |
| 2.8 Stressed advances in broad sectors |
| 2.9 Stressed advances in stressed sectors |
| 2.10 GNPA ratios of large borrowers |
| 2.11 Distribution of SCBs based on RoA (Annualised) |
| 2.12 Projection of system level GNPA ratios and CRAR of SCBs |
| 2.13 Projection of bank-group wise GNPA ratio and CRAR |
| 2.14 Projected sectoral GNPA under various scenarios |
| 2.15 Expected losses: Bank-group wise |
| 2.16 Unexpected losses and expected shortfalls: Bank-group wise |
| 2.17 Expected losses and unexpected losses: Bank-wise |
| 2.18 CRAR-wise distribution of banks |
| 2.19 Credit concentration risk: Individual borrowers |
| 2.20 Share of off-balance sheet assets (credit equivalent) of SCBs |
| 2.21 MTM of total derivatives |
| 2.22 Stress Tests - Impact of shocks on derivatives portfolio of select banks |
| 2.23 Banking stability indicator |
| 2.24 Banking stability map |
| 2.25 Asset quality of the NBFC sector |
| 2.26 CRAR of the NBFC sector |
| 2.27 Size of the interbank market |
| 2.28 Share of different bank groups in the interbank market |
| 2.29 Fund based and non-fund based transactions in the interbank market |
| 2.30 Short-term and long-term interbank market (fund based) |
| 2.31 Network structure of the Indian banking system |
| 2.32 Network plot of the Indian Financial System |
| 3.1 Issuance of corporate debt and commercial paper outstanding |
| 3.2 Bank-group wise trends in net interest margin (NIM) |
| 3.3 Trends in total assets and owned funds of ARCs |
| 3.4 Trends in assets acquired by ARCs |
| 3.5 Debt, capital expenditure and earnings of Indian companies |
| 3.6 HHI at the system level (all SCBs) |
| 3.7 Bank-wise distribution of difference between HHIs of NPAs and loans |
| 3.8 Dividend received and capital infusion by the government in PSBs |
| 3.9 Trends in number of BSBD accounts |
| 3.10 Trends in BC-ICT transactions and value |
| 3.11 Net investment in equity by DIIs and FPIs |
| 3.12 Day-wise break-up of buying / selling trends of FPIs and DIIs |
| 3.13 Comparative position of investment of insurance companies in capital markets |
| 3.14 Trends in subscription and AUM under National Pension Scheme |
| 3.15 Trends in number of ‘incidents’ reported during 2015 |
| LIST OF TABLES |
| 1.1 Select financial ratios of performance of NGNF listed companies (2014-15 and 2015-16) |
| 1.2 NGNF listed companies: Tail risk in corporate leverage |
| 1.3 Impact of weakness in debt servicing capacity of NGNF companies on bank credit |
| 2.1 Exposure of SCBs to large borrowers |
| 2.2 Profitability of SCBs |
| 2.3 Macroeconomic scenario assumptions |
| 2.4 Credit risk - shocks and impacts |
| 2.5 Credit concentration risk: Group borrowers |
| 2.6 Sectoral credit risk : Industry - shocks and impacts |
| 2.7 Sectoral credit risk : Infrastructure - shocks and impacts |
| 2.8 Sectoral credit risk: select industries |
| 2.9 Interest rate risk – bank groups - shocks and impacts |
| 2.10 Liquidity risk – shocks and impacts |
| 2.11 Liquidity risk – shocks and impacts |
| 2.12 Consolidated balance sheet of the NBFC sector: y-o- y growth |
| 2.13 Financial performance of the NBFC sector |
| 2.14 Connectivity statistics of the banking system |
| 2.15 Inter-sector assets and liabilities of different groups |
| 2.16 Pattern of insurance companies’ exposure to banks |
| 2.17 Exposure of SCBs, AMC-MFs and insurance companies to NBFCs |
| 2.18 Contagion triggered by net borrower banks |
| 2.19 Contagion triggered by net lender banks |
| 3.1 Exposure of MFs to corporate bonds |