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Date : Apr 05, 2016
Inflation Expectations Survey of Households: March - 2016

The Inflation Expectations Survey of Households for March 2016 (43rd round) captures the inflation expectations of 5,404 urban households across 18 cities, for the next three month period and the next one year period. These expectations are based on their individual consumption baskets and hence these rates should not be considered as benchmark of official measure of inflation. Inflation expectations of households provide useful directional information on near-term inflationary pressures and also supplement other economic indicators. As per the recommendation of Technical Advisory Committee on Surveys (TACS), the Reserve Bank has increased the coverage to include Chandigarh, Raipur and Ranchi and excluded Kolhapur. The comparable data for 16 cities and 18 cities are in Annex. As can be observed from the Annex, both the data show more or less similar trends in inflation perception and expectations for March 2015 - March 2016 period.

Highlights:

  1. In terms of qualitative response, the proportion of respondents expecting price rise by ‘more than current rate’ in respect of general price level as well as prices of all product groups (except housing prices for three-month ahead period), has decreased as compared with the previous round of survey for both three-month ahead period and one-year ahead period (Table 2).

  2. In terms of quantitative responses, inflation perception and expectations of households moderated in current round as compared to December 2015 round. (Chart1).

  1. The survey shows that daily workers, unemployed and students, and housewives have comparatively higher inflation expectations for three month ahead period based on median inflation rates. Respondents from Guwahati, Ahmedabad, Kolkata, Jaipur and Thiruvananthapuram expect relatively higher inflation for next three months.

Table 1: Respondents’ Profile (Category): Share in Total Sample
Category of Respondents Share in Total (%) -18 cities Share in Total (%) -16 cities Target Share (%)
Financial Sector Employees 10.0 10.0 10.0
Other Employees 15.2 15.2 15.0
Self-employed 19.9 19.8 20.0
Housewives 29.8 29.8 30.0
Retired Persons 10.1 10.1 10.0
Daily Workers 10.0 10.1 10.0
Others 5.0 5.0 5.0
Note: The above sample proportion is for the round ended March, 2016 survey

Table 2: Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three-month Ahead and One-year Ahead
(Percentage of respondents)
a) For 18 cities
Round No./survey period 39 40 41 42 43 39 40 41 42 43
(Round ended) → Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16
Options: General Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 74.1 81.9 82.8 86.7 79.7 82.7 91.0 90.6 90.9 89.5
Price increase more than current rate 27.7 34.5 36.3 35.7 31.4 33.8 41.2 43.6 41.6 37.4
Price increase similar to current rate 24.0 25.3 21.2 29.5 26.4 27.1 29.3 23.8 28.5 31.6
Price increase less than current rate 22.5 22.1 25.4 21.5 21.9 21.8 20.6 23.2 20.9 20.6
No change in prices 15.2 13.4 12.3 9.0 16.6 9.6 5.8 5.5 5.6 7.5
Decline in price 10.7 4.7 4.8 4.3 3.7 7.7 3.1 3.9 3.5 2.9
Options: Food Product Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 75.1 84.1 84.1 85.9 81.1 83.0 92.3 89.6 90.6 88.3
Price increase more than current rate 27.2 35.2 37.5 34.9 30.3 32.5 39.5 42.8 41.2 34.7
Price increase similar to current rate 25.3 26.8 23.2 30.1 29.0 28.2 31.0 24.2 29.2 32.8
Price increase less than current rate 22.7 22.1 23.3 20.9 21.8 22.3 21.8 22.6 20.2 20.9
No change in prices 14.6 11.1 10.4 8.8 14.3 9.3 5.0 6.1 5.6 8.5
Decline in price 10.2 4.8 5.5 5.3 4.6 7.7 2.7 4.3 3.9 3.2
Options: Non-Food Product Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 65.8 76.8 73.5 74.3 70.8 77.0 86.2 82.8 81.9 81.4
Price increase more than current rate 21.3 27.7 26.8 23.7 23.4 26.4 32.1 32.1 29.2 26.6
Price increase similar to current rate 24.1 27.2 23.2 29.1 26.6 27.8 30.7 24.4 29.6 32.1
Price increase less than current rate 20.4 21.8 23.5 21.5 20.8 22.9 23.5 26.3 23.1 22.7
No change in prices 23.4 20.0 21.4 20.8 24.6 15.2 10.9 12.8 13.8 14.9
Decline in price 10.7 3.2 5.2 5.0 4.6 7.8 2.9 4.4 4.3 3.7
Options: Household Durables Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 69.9 70.1 65.7 68.6 70.9 78.8 83.0 78.4 78.9 80.0
Price increase more than current rate 25.0 26.0 24.6 22.1 22.5 28.8 32.4 32.0 29.2 28.7
Price increase similar to current rate 24.1 24.9 19.1 26.3 27.0 29.0 28.9 22.8 29.4 30.2
Price increase less than current rate 20.8 19.2 22.1 20.2 21.4 21.0 21.7 23.6 20.3 21.1
No change in prices 20.4 22.9 25.0 22.5 20.5 14.2 12.2 14.7 14.0 13.7
Decline in price 9.7 7.1 9.2 8.8 8.6 7.0 4.9 7.0 7.2 6.3
Options: Housing Prices Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 82.8 81.3 79.8 80.2 78.3 89.9 90.2 89.4 88.4 86.0
Price increase more than current rate 44.0 42.8 42.2 39.9 40.7 51.1 50.1 52.4 48.7 47.8
Price increase similar to current rate 22.0 23.9 20.3 25.1 22.7 22.9 24.5 19.2 24.9 24.2
Price increase less than current rate 16.7 14.7 17.4 15.3 15.0 15.9 15.5 17.9 14.8 14.0
No change in prices 12.0 14.0 14.2 13.3 14.8 5.5 6.5 6.2 6.9 8.1
Decline in price 5.2 4.7 6.0 6.5 6.8 4.6 3.4 4.3 4.7 6.0
Options: Cost of Services Three-month Ahead One-Year Ahead
Prices will increase 78.3 80.5 74.2 81.6 76.1 86.6 89.8 87.0 90.4 87.0
Price increase more than current rate 30.7 33.5 31.5 35.9 29.6 36.5 39.1 40.3 42.0 37.4
Price increase similar to current rate 25.9 27.6 20.5 27.2 26.8 28.9 30.2 22.1 28.6 29.5
Price increase less than current rate 21.7 19.5 22.2 18.5 19.7 21.2 20.6 24.6 19.9 20.1
No change in prices 17.8 17.6 22.4 15.4 20.2 9.7 8.2 9.8 7.0 10.0
Decline in price 4.0 1.9 3.5 3.0 3.7 3.7 2.0 3.3 2.6 3.1
b) For 16 cities
Round No./survey period 39 40 41 42 43 39 40 41 42 43
(Round ended) → Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16
Options: General Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 73.6 81.0 81.1 85.4 78.2 82.2 90.9 89.0 90.0 88.5
Price increase more than current rate 28.3 34.4 32.1 31.5 28.7 32.9 41.7 38.8 36.2 34.7
Price increase similar to current rate 24.0 24.3 22.1 31.3 27.3 28.8 28.8 24.8 30.0 32.4
Price increase less than current rate 21.2 22.3 26.9 22.6 22.2 20.6 20.4 25.4 23.8 21.4
No change in prices 15.4 13.9 12.8 9.8 17.7 10.0 5.8 5.8 5.9 8.0
Decline in price 11.1 5.2 6.1 4.8 4.1 7.8 3.3 5.2 4.0 3.5
Options: Food Product Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 74.4 83.1 82.0 84.6 80.3 82.4 91.9 87.6 89.8 87.2
Price increase more than current rate 27.9 35.1 33.7 31.5 28.9 32.0 39.1 38.2 36.8 32.8
Price increase similar to current rate 25.2 25.7 24.2 31.7 29.8 29.2 30.5 25.3 30.4 33.5
Price increase less than current rate 21.3 22.3 24.1 21.4 21.6 21.1 22.3 24.0 22.6 21.0
No change in prices 15.0 11.7 11.2 9.3 14.9 9.9 5.2 6.6 5.9 9.2
Decline in price 10.6 5.3 6.9 6.0 4.8 7.7 3.0 5.8 4.3 3.6
Options: Non-Food Product Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 64.2 76.0 71.3 72.7 70.0 76.0 85.6 80.4 80.7 80.3
Price increase more than current rate 21.7 27.7 24.7 21.9 23.2 25.8 31.7 29.0 26.1 26.7
Price increase similar to current rate 24.0 26.3 22.7 29.2 25.8 28.4 30.3 23.6 29.8 31.0
Price increase less than current rate 18.5 21.9 23.9 21.7 21.0 21.7 23.6 27.7 24.8 22.7
No change in prices 24.6 20.6 22.4 21.8 24.9 16.3 11.2 13.8 15.0 15.5
Decline in price 11.2 3.4 6.3 5.5 5.2 7.7 3.1 5.8 4.4 4.2
Options: Household Durables Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 68.2 69.1 63.3 67.9 70.2 77.6 82.2 75.5 77.0 79.2
Price increase more than current rate 25.4 25.9 22.1 20.6 22.1 29.2 31.8 28.6 26.1 28.6
Price increase similar to current rate 24.4 24.2 18.9 26.9 26.8 29.2 28.7 22.1 29.2 29.5
Price increase less than current rate 18.4 19.0 22.3 20.4 21.4 19.2 21.7 24.8 21.6 21.1
No change in prices 21.6 23.5 26.3 22.6 20.7 15.5 12.7 15.9 15.2 14.0
Decline in price 10.2 7.4 10.5 9.5 9.0 6.9 5.2 8.6 7.8 6.8
Options: Housing Prices Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 83.2 81.4 77.8 79.6 77.5 90.3 90.1 87.3 87.7 85.3
Price increase more than current rate 46.7 43.1 38.7 38.6 39.1 53.1 50.3 48.7 45.4 45.8
Price increase similar to current rate 21.5 23.7 20.8 26.1 23.1 23.0 24.3 19.4 25.8 24.9
Price increase less than current rate 14.9 14.5 18.3 14.9 15.4 14.2 15.5 19.2 16.5 14.6
No change in prices 11.8 13.8 14.9 13.2 15.3 5.4 6.5 7.0 7.0 8.2
Decline in price 5.0 4.8 7.3 7.2 7.2 4.4 3.4 5.8 5.3 6.5
Options: Cost of Services Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Prices will increase 78.5 79.9 72.0 80.2 75.2 86.9 89.7 84.9 89.8 86.3
Price increase more than current rate 32.7 34.2 28.4 33.2 28.1 37.6 39.5 36.9 38.1 35.3
Price increase similar to current rate 25.7 26.7 20.7 28.3 27.0 29.5 29.7 22.1 29.8 30.0
Price increase less than current rate 20.0 19.1 22.9 18.8 20.1 19.9 20.5 25.8 21.9 21.0
No change in prices 17.9 18.0 23.4 16.3 20.6 9.7 8.2 10.6 7.2 10.3
Decline in price 3.6 2.1 4.7 3.5 4.2 3.3 2.1 4.5 3.0 3.5

Table 3: Households Expecting General Price Movements in Coherence with Movements in Price Expectations of Various Product Groups: Three-month Ahead and One-year Ahead
(Percentage of respondents)
a) For 18 cities
Round No. Survey period ended Food Non-Food Households durables Housing Cost of services
Three-month Ahead
39 Mar-15 69.8 59.2 46.2 45.4 50.0
40 Jun-15 68.7 52.3 48.5 49.3 52.8
41 Sep-15 70.0 58.1 50.6 54.0 56.1
42 Dec-15 73.2 59.4 51.4 54.4 60.9
43 Mar-16 69.6 63.2 59.1 58.7 64.6
One-year Ahead
39 Mar-15 71.2 63.5 53.8 54.7 57.6
40 Jun-15 71.0 63.3 59.4 59.6 62.9
41 Sep-15 70.3 59.5 55.4 60.8 60.6
42 Dec-15 77.8 63.9 60.2 61.6 67.2
43 Mar-16 73.1 67.4 66.6 63.9 69.2
b) For 16 cities
Round No. Survey period ended Food Non-Food Households durables Housing Cost of services
Three-month Ahead
39 Mar-15 68.8 57.3 43.3 43.1 47.5
40 Jun-15 67.8 51.3 47.2 48.4 52.2
41 Sep-15 70.0 58.9 50.8 53.0 55.9
42 Dec-15 72.6 58.6 51.1 52.8 59.1
43 Mar-16 70.2 64.6 60.9 57.7 64.8
One-year Ahead
39 Mar-15 70.5 61.8 51.5 52.0 55.8
40 Jun-15 70.2 62.2 58.5 59.8 62.8
41 Sep-15 69.5 60.4 54.7 59.0 60.0
42 Dec-15 76.8 63.2 58.8 60.2 65.8
43 Mar-16 72.8 68.6 67.8 63.4 69.0

Table 4: Household Inflation Expectations - Current, Three-Month Ahead and One-year Ahead
a) For 18 cities
Survey Round Survey period Ended Inflation Rate in Per cent
Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
39 Mar-15 9.1 9.0 4.0 9.0 8.5 4.3 9.6 9.2 4.5
40 Jun-15 9.9 9.5 4.0 10.1 10.0 4.4 10.7 10.2 4.4
41 Sep-15 10.4 9.8 4.3 10.6 10.4 4.3 11.2 11.1 4.5
42 Dec-15 10.5 9.9 4.2 10.5 9.9 4.1 10.7 10.0 4.3
43 Mar-16 8.9 7.9 4.4 8.8 8.1 4.6 9.7 9.4 4.6
b) For 16 cities
Survey Round Survey period Ended Inflation Rate in Per cent
Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
39 Mar-15 9.1 9.0 4.0 9.0 8.5 4.3 9.6 9.1 4.5
40 Jun-15 10.0 9.5 4.1 10.1 10.1 4.5 10.8 10.3 4.4
41 Sep-15 10.6 9.9 4.4 10.7 10.5 4.5 11.1 10.8 4.6
42 Dec-15 11.0 10.3 4.2 10.9 10.3 4.1 11.2 10.5 4.3
43 Mar-16 9.1 8.4 4.5 9.0 8.3 4.7 9.9 9.5 4.7

Table 5: Factors that Explain the Total Variability
a) For 18 cities
Round No. Survey period ended Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
39 Mar-15 City City City
40 Jun-15 City, Category City, Category, Age-Group City, Category
41 Sep-15 City, Age-Group, Gender City, Age-Group, Gender City, Age-Group, Gender
42 Dec-15 City, Age-Group City, Age-Group City, Age-Group
43 Mar-16 City, Age-Group City City, Category
b) For 16 cities
Round No. Survey period ended Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
39 Mar-15 City City City
40 Jun-15 City, Category, Age-Group City, Category, Age-Group City, Category, Gender
41 Sep-15 City, Age-Group City, Age-Group City, Age-Group, Gender
42 Dec-15 City, Age-Group City, Category, Age-Group City, Age-Group
43 Mar-16 City City City


Table 6 : Various Group-wise Inflation Expectations for March 2016 Survey Round- 18 cities
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 8.9 7.8 4.5 8.8 8.0 4.6 9.7 9.3 4.6
Female 8.8 7.9 4.4 8.9 8.3 4.6 9.7 9.5 4.6
 
Financial Sector Employees 8.7 7.6 4.3 8.6 7.9 4.5 9.5 9.2 4.6
Other Employees 8.9 7.7 4.4 8.8 7.9 4.5 9.7 9.3 4.6
Self Employed 8.8 7.8 4.5 8.6 7.8 4.6 9.5 9.3 4.6
Housewives 8.8 7.9 4.4 8.9 8.3 4.5 9.7 9.5 4.6
Retired Persons 9.0 7.8 4.6 8.9 8.2 4.5 9.6 9.1 4.7
Daily Workers 9.2 8.5 4.6 9.2 8.6 4.7 10.3 10.2 4.8
Other Category 8.7 8.4 4.3 9.1 8.4 4.6 9.6 9.3 4.5
 
Up to 25 years 8.4 7.5 4.2 8.6 7.8 4.4 9.5 9.2 4.5
25 to 30 years 8.3 7.4 4.3 8.4 7.6 4.5 9.3 9.2 4.6
30 to 35 years 8.9 7.9 4.5 8.9 8.1 4.5 9.7 9.4 4.7
35 to 40 years 8.9 8.0 4.5 8.9 8.3 4.6 9.8 9.5 4.7
40 to 45 years 8.9 7.7 4.4 8.8 8.1 4.6 9.8 9.6 4.7
45 to 50 years 9.1 8.3 4.5 9.1 8.4 4.6 9.9 9.4 4.8
50 to 55 years 9.8 9.4 4.6 9.5 9.1 4.7 10.4 10.1 4.7
55 to 60 years 9.7 8.8 4.7 9.6 9.2 4.6 10.4 10.1 4.7
60 years and Above 9.2 8.2 4.5 8.9 8.3 4.5 9.6 9.2 4.6
 
Ahmadabad 11.9 10.9 4.4 13.0 15.6 4.3 13.7 16.1 4.0
Bengaluru 4.1 3.6 2.1 4.3 3.7 2.6 4.8 4.0 3.2
Bhopal 6.0 5.2 3.3 6.7 5.6 4.0 7.8 7.3 4.8
Bhubaneswar 8.9 8.0 4.6 9.1 8.3 5.0 9.4 9.2 5.2
Chennai 10.4 10.1 4.3 10.0 9.5 4.8 11.0 10.6 4.5
Delhi 7.3 6.3 3.1 7.5 6.7 3.8 8.1 7.5 3.9
Guwahati 14.4 16.1 3.4 14.3 16.2 3.6 14.5 16.2 3.3
Hyderabad 7.7 6.6 3.9 6.5 5.8 3.0 8.4 8.0 4.1
Jaipur 12.1 14.3 4.6 11.0 10.6 5.1 12.8 15.3 4.2
Kolkata 11.0 10.4 4.7 11.4 11.0 4.8 11.5 11.2 4.6
Lucknow 8.4 7.3 4.4 7.6 6.5 4.2 9.3 9.2 4.4
Mumbai 7.8 7.1 3.1 7.7 7.3 3.5 8.4 7.9 3.7
Nagpur 5.5 5.4 2.0 6.0 6.0 2.4 6.7 6.6 2.7
Patna 9.0 9.0 1.6 10.1 10.2 1.9 11.2 11.4 2.3
Thiruvananthapuram 12.8 13.6 3.6 10.2 10.5 4.4 12.1 12.5 4.2
Chandigarh 9.3 9.0 4.6 9.7 8.9 4.5 9.9 9.5 4.8
Ranchi 7.1 7.0 1.5 8.2 8.2 1.6 9.6 9.9 2.3
Raipur 5.1 5.2 1.5 5.5 5.4 2.0 5.7 5.4 2.3
All 8.9 7.9 4.4 8.8 8.1 4.6 9.7 9.4 4.6

Table 6 : Various Group-wise Inflation Expectations for March 2016 Survey Round- 16 cities
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 9.1 8.4 4.5 9.0 8.2 4.7 9.9 9.6 4.7
Female 9.0 8.3 4.4 9.0 8.4 4.6 9.8 9.5 4.7
 
Financial Sector Employees 8.8 8.0 4.3 8.9 8.1 4.5 9.7 9.4 4.7
Other Employees 9.0 8.1 4.4 8.8 7.9 4.6 9.8 9.4 4.6
Self Employed 9.0 8.3 4.5 8.8 7.9 4.7 9.8 9.5 4.7
Housewives 9.0 8.4 4.4 9.0 8.6 4.6 9.8 9.6 4.7
Retired Persons 9.3 8.3 4.6 9.1 8.4 4.7 9.8 9.3 4.8
Daily Workers 9.4 9.2 4.7 9.3 8.9 4.9 10.4 10.4 5.0
Other Category 8.8 8.5 4.4 9.1 8.4 4.6 9.6 9.2 4.6
 
Up to 25 years 8.6 7.8 4.3 8.6 7.7 4.5 9.6 9.2 4.6
25 to 30 years 8.6 7.8 4.4 8.6 7.7 4.7 9.5 9.3 4.6
30 to 35 years 9.1 8.5 4.5 9.0 8.3 4.7 9.9 9.5 4.8
35 to 40 years 9.1 8.7 4.5 9.2 8.6 4.7 10.0 9.7 4.7
40 to 45 years 9.0 8.2 4.4 8.9 8.3 4.7 9.9 9.7 4.7
45 to 50 years 9.3 8.8 4.4 9.3 8.8 4.6 10.2 9.7 4.8
50 to 55 years 9.9 9.7 4.6 9.5 9.2 4.8 10.4 10.2 4.7
55 to 60 years 10.0 9.5 4.7 9.9 9.7 4.7 10.6 10.4 4.8
60 years and Above 9.4 8.8 4.5 9.0 8.5 4.6 9.8 9.4 4.7
 
Ahmadabad 11.9 10.9 4.4 13.0 15.6 4.3 13.7 16.1 4.0
Bengaluru 4.1 3.6 2.1 4.3 3.7 2.6 4.8 4.0 3.2
Bhopal 6.0 5.2 3.3 6.7 5.6 4.0 7.8 7.3 4.8
Bhubaneswar 8.9 8.0 4.6 9.1 8.3 5.0 9.4 9.2 5.2
Chennai 10.4 10.1 4.3 10.0 9.5 4.8 11.0 10.6 4.5
Delhi 7.3 6.3 3.1 7.5 6.7 3.8 8.1 7.5 3.9
Guwahati 14.4 16.1 3.4 14.3 16.2 3.6 14.5 16.2 3.3
Hyderabad 7.7 6.6 3.9 6.5 5.8 3.0 8.4 8.0 4.1
Jaipur 12.1 14.3 4.6 11.0 10.6 5.1 12.8 15.3 4.2
Kolhapur 7.6 7.1 3.1 8.2 7.2 3.7 9.0 8.1 4.2
Kolkata 11.0 10.4 4.7 11.4 11.0 4.8 11.5 11.2 4.6
Lucknow 8.4 7.3 4.4 7.6 6.5 4.2 9.3 9.2 4.4
Mumbai 7.8 7.1 3.1 7.7 7.3 3.5 8.4 7.9 3.7
Nagpur 5.5 5.4 2.0 6.0 6.0 2.4 6.7 6.6 2.7
Patna 9.0 9.0 1.6 10.1 10.2 1.9 11.2 11.4 2.3
Thiruvananthapuram 12.8 13.6 3.6 10.2 10.5 4.4 12.1 12.5 4.2
All 9.1 8.4 4.5 9.0 8.3 4.7 9.9 9.5 4.7

Table 7: Cross-tabulation of Current and Three-month Ahead Inflation Expectations: - Mar 2016
(Number of respondents)
a) For 18 cities
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 12 6 1                             1 20
1-2 5 30 16 8 4 2 1                       66
2-3 4 31 55 42 34 7 2 1   1 1 1           3 182
3-4 2 23 47 94 50 27 7 4 3   1             2 260
4-5 2 9 69 83 149 75 63 22 7 9 3 1 1   2     4 499
5-6   7 48 70 206 219 171 85 36 17 20 3   1   2   9 894
6-7   1 3 8 23 137 102 86 53 20 5 3     1     6 448
7-8   4 8 8 13 12 42 123 96 38 22 9 2 2 2     2 383
8-9     6 3 3 6 6 25 64 103 56 5 7   1 3   1 289
9-10         9 9 9 13 113 155 59 44 29 6 41 7 35 2 531
10-11       5 12 41 14 21 27 38 119 40 46 9 11 30 37 8 458
11-12         1 5 3 3 10 8 17 26 12 15 5 2 12   119
12-13           5   2 8 3 3 5 26 13 9 6 9 1 90
13-14                 5 1 4 5 5 9 6 3 8 1 47
14-15         2 1 3 1 5 6 2 1 7 6 23 13 56 1 127
15-16         2 14 3 3 4 5 20 4 7 9 12 40 74 4 201
>=16       1 3 13 4 6 4 22 59 7 3 7 12 18 608 23 790
Total 25 111 253 322 511 573 430 395 435 426 391 154 145 77 125 124 839 68 5404
b) For 16 cities
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 12 5                               1 18
1-2 5 27 16 7 2 1                         58
2-3 4 30 55 36 28 7   1   1 1             2 165
3-4 2 21 45 84 37 22 6 2 3   1             1 224
4-5   6 64 86 151 56 57 19 7 7 3 1 1   2     3 463
5-6   7 46 64 185 199 116 63 31 14 20 2   1   2   8 758
6-7     3 7 24 130 92 37 29 18 5 4     1     1 351
7-8   4 8 8 13 12 50 116 52 32 22 6 2 2 1       328
8-9     6 3 2 6 7 25 61 69 56 5 6   1 2   1 250
9-10         9 9 10 12 109 154 56 40 30 5 38 6 33 2 513
10-11       5 11 40 14 21 26 39 118 39 61 13 11 29 35 6 468
11-12         1 5 3 3 10 9 16 26 11 13 4 2 13   116
12-13           5   2 8 2 3 5 25 13 9 6 9 1 88
13-14                 4 1 3 4 5 9 6 1 8   41
14-15         2 1 3 1 5 5 2 1 6 6 22 12 53   119
15-16           14 3 3 4 5 20 4 6 9 8 43 76 2 197
>=16       1 2 12 4 6 4 19 58 7 3 7 10 18 589 20 760
Total 23 100 243 301 467 519 365 311 353 375 384 144 156 78 113 121 816 48 4917

Table 8: Cross-tabulation of Current and One-year Ahead Inflation Expectations: - Mar 2016
(Number of respondents)
a) For 18 cities
  One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 8 4   1 3                         4 20
1-2 25 20 13 4 3                         1 66
2-3 2 46 63 9 14 24 5 6 1   6           1 5 182
3-4   3 71 83 22 28 16 12 8 2 8   1   2     4 260
4-5 8 5 5 127 176 24 30 37 12 43 14 6 1   2 1 2 6 499
5-6   5 6 8 246 247 35 82 85 56 51 17 8 20 9 12 4 3 894
6-7   1 4 3 5 112 126 34 43 43 36 19 3 3 5 5 2 4 448
7-8 1 1 3 7 4 5 43 134 27 54 42 25 6 5 7 11 6 2 383
8-9       2   2 1 28 79 19 62 39 30 8 6 10 2 1 289
9-10         3 2 4 6 86 205 14 36 40 15 48 8 51 13 531
10-11           12 1 2 3 51 176 41 42 13 28 42 41 6 458
11-12         1 1   1   3 15 52 8 5 11 7 13 2 119
12-13     1 1   2 1     2 2 7 33 6 8 15 12   90
13-14     2         1 1       7 24 4 4 4   47
14-15         1 1       3   1 1 15 61 15 28 1 127
15-16     3     3 3 1 1   6   3 1 18 85 70 7 201
>=16         4 5 2 3 3 7 16 3   1 6 14 695 31 790
Total 44 85 171 245 482 468 267 347 349 488 448 246 183 116 215 229 931 90 5404
b) For 16 cities
  One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 8 3   1 2                         4 18
1-2 23 17 11 4 2                         1 58
2-3 2 42 55 9 14 23 3 5 1   6           1 4 165
3-4   3 65 73 18 28 13 6 6 1 6   1   1     3 224
4-5 8 2 4 108 179 20 27 39 10 36 13 6 1   2 1 2 5 463
5-6   5 6 8 213 210 38 68 59 46 44 12 4 19 9 10 4 3 758
6-7   1 3 3 5 100 94 32 34 24 18 18 2 2 5 5 2 3 351
7-8 1 1 3 7 4 5 41 124 28 38 21 21 7 3 6 10 6 2 328
8-9       2   2 1 28 78 16 47 26 27 8 2 11 1 1 250
9-10         3 3 3 7 83 201 15 30 39 13 43 11 50 12 513
10-11           12 1 2 3 47 173 40 45 12 29 62 37 5 468
11-12         1 1   1   3 14 52 8 5 9 7 12 3 116
12-13           2 1     1 2 7 33 6 8 15 12   88
13-14     1           1       7 23 2 3 4   41
14-15         1 1       3   1 1 14 58 15 25   119
15-16     1     3 3 1 1   6   3 1 19 79 73 7 197
>=16         2 5 2 3 3 7 15 3   1 6 13 673 27 760
Total 42 74 149 216 444 415 227 316 307 423 380 216 178 107 199 242 902 80 4917

Annex

Table 1: Various Group-wise Inflation Expectations- For 18 cities
a) December 2015
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 10.4 9.9 4.2 10.4 10.0 4.1 10.6 10.0 4.3
Female 10.7 9.9 4.3 10.6 9.9 4.2 10.9 10.1 4.4
 
Financial Sector Employees 10.5 9.7 4.2 10.3 9.5 4.1 10.8 10.0 4.2
Other Employees 10.6 9.9 4.2 10.4 9.9 4.2 10.7 10.0 4.3
Self Employed 10.8 10.2 4.3 10.6 10.2 4.2 10.8 10.2 4.4
Housewives 10.4 9.8 4.2 10.5 9.9 4.2 10.7 9.9 4.4
Retired Persons 10.9 10.1 4.2 10.8 10.3 4.1 11.1 10.5 4.3
Daily Workers 10.7 10.0 4.1 10.7 10.2 4.1 10.9 10.3 4.2
Other Category 9.6 9.3 4.0 9.8 9.3 4.0 10.0 9.4 4.2
 
Up to 25 years 9.7 9.3 4.0 9.8 9.4 3.9 10.0 9.4 4.1
25 to 30 years 10.5 9.8 4.1 10.5 9.9 4.2 10.8 10.1 4.3
30 to 35 years 10.5 9.8 4.3 10.6 9.9 4.2 10.8 10.0 4.3
35 to 40 years 10.5 9.9 4.3 10.4 9.8 4.3 10.6 9.9 4.4
40 to 45 years 10.8 9.9 4.3 10.8 10.2 4.1 11.1 10.3 4.4
45 to 50 years 11.1 10.3 4.3 10.9 10.3 4.1 11.2 10.6 4.3
50 to 55 years 10.9 10.4 4.2 10.6 10.3 3.9 10.9 10.3 4.3
55 to 60 years 10.9 10.3 4.2 10.8 10.5 4.2 10.7 10.3 4.4
60 years and Above 11.3 10.6 4.2 11.2 10.7 4.2 11.5 10.9 4.3
 
Ahmadabad 13.8 15.8 3.6 14.2 16.2 3.6 14.4 16.3 3.6
Bangalore 9.9 9.7 3.6 8.3 9.0 2.9 9.6 9.4 3.7
Bhopal 6.7 5.9 2.9 6.6 6.0 3.0 6.5 5.8 2.9
Bhubaneswar 11.8 11.6 4.1 12.7 13.3 3.7 13.3 16.1 4.0
Chennai 14.8 16.3 3.1 12.9 16.0 4.3 14.9 16.3 3.1
Delhi 7.5 6.3 3.2 8.5 7.6 3.4 7.7 6.6 3.7
Guwahati 14.9 16.3 3.3 14.5 16.3 3.6 15.4 16.3 2.7
Hyderabad 9.2 9.1 2.8 9.2 9.3 2.6 10.0 9.6 3.0
Jaipur 12.7 12.9 3.4 13.0 13.9 3.4 13.1 14.1 3.5
Kolkata 11.9 10.8 3.8 12.0 11.8 4.2 11.8 10.5 4.0
Lucknow 11.3 10.9 4.3 11.2 11.5 4.5 10.8 10.1 4.5
Mumbai 11.1 10.6 3.2 11.2 10.6 3.2 11.2 10.7 3.4
Nagpur 7.0 6.4 2.4 7.4 7.2 2.3 7.1 6.8 2.2
Patna 9.5 9.4 1.8 10.2 10.0 1.8 10.2 10.0 1.7
Thiruvananthapuram 11.8 12.5 4.8 10.0 10.5 4.5 11.6 11.9 4.9
Chandigarh 9.1 9.4 3.1 10.2 10.2 3.3 9.4 9.4 3.1
Ranchi 7.8 7.6 1.8 9.0 8.9 1.8 8.6 8.4 1.8
Raipur 6.8 6.3 2.9 6.2 5.6 2.7 6.2 5.6 2.7
All 10.5 9.9 4.2 10.5 9.9 4.1 10.7 10.0 4.3
b) September 2015
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 10.3 9.8 4.4 10.6 10.4 4.4 11.0 10.9 4.5
Female 10.4 9.8 4.3 10.7 10.5 4.3 11.4 11.3 4.4
 
Financial Sector Employees 10.2 9.7 4.3 10.6 10.1 4.3 10.8 10.6 4.5
Other Employees 10.2 9.7 4.4 10.5 10.1 4.4 11.0 10.9 4.6
Self Employed 10.5 9.9 4.4 10.7 10.6 4.4 11.2 11.1 4.5
Housewives 10.4 9.8 4.2 10.7 10.6 4.3 11.4 11.2 4.3
Retired Persons 10.9 10.3 4.5 10.9 10.6 4.3 11.6 12.1 4.6
Daily Workers 10.3 9.8 4.4 10.7 10.5 4.3 11.1 11.1 4.6
Other Category 9.7 9.5 4.3 10.3 10.2 4.4 11.0 10.8 4.3
 
Up to 25 years 9.7 9.5 4.1 10.3 10.3 4.2 10.9 10.8 4.3
25 to 30 years 9.8 9.4 4.2 10.1 9.9 4.3 10.7 10.5 4.4
30 to 35 years 10.1 9.7 4.4 10.4 10.0 4.4 10.9 10.9 4.5
35 to 40 years 10.5 9.9 4.3 10.8 10.6 4.4 11.4 11.6 4.5
40 to 45 years 10.9 10.1 4.3 11.3 11.1 4.3 11.7 12.0 4.3
45 to 50 years 10.7 10.1 4.4 10.8 10.8 4.4 11.3 11.0 4.5
50 to 55 years 10.7 10.0 4.4 11.1 10.7 4.2 11.4 11.2 4.5
55 to 60 years 10.8 10.3 4.5 10.8 10.6 4.4 11.1 11.1 4.6
60 years and Above 11.3 10.5 4.4 11.1 10.7 4.4 11.7 12.3 4.5
 
Ahmadabad 12.0 12.5 4.2 12.9 14.6 4.1 12.6 14.1 4.1
Bangalore 7.2 6.0 4.0 7.3 7.2 3.6 8.0 7.2 4.1
Bhopal 10.4 10.2 3.6 12.4 12.7 3.6 13.6 15.1 3.6
Bhubaneswar 10.5 9.8 3.9 10.4 10.8 4.2 11.7 12.9 4.4
Chennai 12.4 12.5 4.0 11.7 12.6 4.6 12.7 14.4 4.1
Delhi 9.0 7.4 4.7 8.7 7.7 4.4 8.7 7.4 4.8
Guwahati 14.8 16.4 4.2 14.7 16.3 4.1 14.4 16.3 4.2
Hyderabad 8.3 9.0 3.3 9.2 9.6 3.8 9.4 9.8 4.4
Jaipur 10.5 9.7 3.5 11.2 11.5 3.8 11.1 10.3 4.1
Kolkata 12.9 14.4 3.8 12.8 14.6 4.2 13.2 15.3 3.9
Lucknow 12.5 14.6 4.3 10.8 10.5 4.4 13.1 15.3 4.2
Mumbai 8.1 6.9 3.7 8.7 7.7 3.6 8.7 8.0 3.7
Nagpur 12.0 11.7 4.2 13.0 14.6 4.0 12.1 12.6 4.4
Patna 9.2 9.1 1.0 10.5 10.4 1.2 11.6 11.7 1.5
Thiruvananthapuram 11.2 10.3 4.1 9.2 9.3 4.2 10.1 9.4 4.5
Chandigarh 8.2 8.3 3.8 9.3 9.0 4.2 11.0 11.0 4.3
Ranchi 9.5 9.9 2.2 11.0 11.1 2.3 12.6 12.7 2.5
Raipur 7.0 6.3 3.0 7.9 7.2 3.2 7.7 6.6 3.8
All 10.4 9.8 4.3 10.6 10.4 4.3 11.2 11.1 4.5
c) June 2015
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 9.8 9.4 4.1 10.0 9.8 4.4 10.5 10.0 4.4
Female 9.9 9.5 4.0 10.2 10.2 4.4 10.9 10.4 4.4
 
Financial Sector Employees 9.0 8.6 4.0 9.3 8.6 4.3 9.7 9.1 4.4
Other Employees 10.1 9.6 4.0 10.3 10.3 4.4 10.8 10.3 4.4
Self Employed 9.9 9.5 4.1 10.1 9.9 4.4 10.6 10.1 4.4
Housewives 9.9 9.5 3.9 10.2 10.2 4.3 10.9 10.4 4.4
Retired Persons 10.2 9.6 4.4 10.2 10.1 4.6 10.6 10.2 4.6
Daily Workers 9.8 9.4 3.9 10.0 10.1 4.3 10.8 10.3 4.3
Other Category 9.6 9.3 4.1 9.5 9.2 4.4 10.6 10.2 4.3
 
Up to 25 years 9.5 9.4 3.7 9.8 9.9 4.2 10.5 10.2 4.2
25 to 30 years 9.6 9.4 4.0 10.0 10.0 4.2 10.5 10.0 4.4
30 to 35 years 9.6 9.4 3.9 10.0 9.8 4.3 10.5 10.1 4.3
35 to 40 years 9.6 9.3 4.0 9.8 9.9 4.4 10.6 10.0 4.4
40 to 45 years 10.3 9.7 4.0 10.6 10.4 4.2 11.2 10.8 4.4
45 to 50 years 10.0 9.4 4.0 9.9 9.5 4.4 10.3 9.8 4.6
50 to 55 years 10.3 9.6 4.2 10.2 10.2 4.7 10.8 10.1 4.4
55 to 60 years 10.0 9.6 4.5 9.9 9.5 4.5 10.6 10.2 4.6
60 years and Above 10.7 10.0 4.3 10.7 10.5 4.5 11.0 10.6 4.6
 
Ahmadabad 11.3 11.9 5.1 11.2 12.3 5.4 12.4 13.8 4.3
Bangalore 7.1 5.6 3.8 7.7 6.8 3.5 8.0 7.5 4.0
Bhopal 10.9 10.2 3.0 12.2 12.0 3.0 12.3 11.7 3.4
Bhubaneswar 10.7 9.7 3.5 11.6 11.6 3.7 12.7 14.0 3.7
Chennai 11.3 10.3 4.2 11.2 10.6 4.6 12.1 13.6 4.5
Delhi 6.8 6.5 2.2 5.9 5.6 3.2 6.5 6.0 2.6
Guwahati 12.3 11.5 3.8 12.3 12.7 4.1 12.5 12.3 3.9
Hyderabad 10.4 10.3 3.5 11.4 11.5 3.8 12.5 14.3 4.0
Jaipur 11.1 9.9 3.5 12.5 12.7 3.6 12.1 11.9 3.8
Kolkata 12.4 11.8 4.1 11.3 11.5 4.7 12.0 13.2 4.7
Lucknow 11.8 10.8 3.7 11.5 11.5 4.6 12.7 13.9 3.9
Mumbai 8.4 8.0 3.4 8.7 7.9 4.0 9.1 8.9 4.1
Nagpur 8.0 6.5 3.6 8.3 7.5 4.0 8.1 7.3 4.0
Patna 8.2 8.2 2.1 9.0 8.9 2.4 10.1 10.3 2.4
Thiruvananthapuram 11.4 10.8 4.3 9.2 9.7 4.4 11.3 11.5 4.6
Chandigarh 8.3 7.3 3.1 9.8 9.2 3.4 8.8 8.3 4.2
Ranchi 10.0 9.8 3.0 11.3 11.3 3.2 12.6 13.0 3.4
Raipur 7.9 6.9 3.1 9.1 8.2 3.1 9.2 8.6 3.5
All 9.9 9.5 4.0 10.1 10.0 4.4 10.7 10.2 4.4
d) March 2015
  Current Three-month Ahead One-year Ahead
Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev. Mean Median Std. Dev.
Gender-wise
Male 9.1 9.0 4.0 8.9 8.5 4.3 9.5 9.2 4.5
Female 9.1 9.0 4.1 9.1 8.6 4.3 9.7 9.2 4.5
 
Financial Sector Employees 9.0 9.1 4.0 8.9 8.4 4.2 9.7 9.2 4.5
Other Employees 9.1 9.0 4.0 8.9 8.3 4.3 9.4 8.9 4.5
Self Employed 9.1 9.0 4.0 8.9 8.4 4.2 9.4 9.1 4.5
Housewives 9.1 9.1 4.1 9.2 8.8 4.3 9.7 9.3 4.5
Retired Persons 9.4 9.2 4.2 9.3 9.0 4.5 10.0 9.7 4.5
Daily Workers 8.9 8.7 4.0 8.9 8.4 4.2 9.7 9.3 4.4
Other Category 8.9 8.1 3.9 8.6 7.9 4.4 9.2 8.3 4.5
 
Up to 25 years 9.0 8.8 4.1 8.9 8.4 4.4 9.5 9.0 4.5
25 to 30 years 9.0 8.9 3.9 8.9 8.3 4.1 9.4 9.0 4.6
30 to 35 years 9.1 9.1 4.0 9.0 8.7 4.3 9.6 9.2 4.5
35 to 40 years 8.9 8.6 4.0 8.8 8.1 4.2 9.2 8.8 4.5
40 to 45 years 9.2 9.1 4.1 9.0 8.6 4.3 9.9 9.4 4.5
45 to 50 years 9.5 9.3 4.2 9.2 8.7 4.5 10.0 9.6 4.5
50 to 55 years 9.3 9.2 4.0 9.2 8.8 4.1 9.8 9.3 4.5
55 to 60 years 9.4 9.2 4.3 9.4 8.7 4.5 9.6 9.2 4.5
60 years and Above 9.2 9.1 4.1 9.0 8.7 4.5 9.9 9.5 4.5
 
Ahmadabad 8.0 6.9 4.2 8.4 7.4 4.3 9.3 8.4 4.5
Bangalore 6.5 5.3 3.5 7.9 7.3 3.8 7.9 7.1 3.7
Bhopal 8.7 9.1 2.7 9.7 9.7 3.7 10.5 10.0 3.9
Bhubaneswar 9.0 9.3 2.8 8.6 8.3 3.6 8.7 8.4 3.8
Chennai 9.2 8.6 3.6 8.8 7.7 3.9 9.3 8.2 4.3
Delhi 6.9 5.4 4.1 6.9 5.3 4.4 6.7 4.8 4.8
Guwahati 10.7 9.9 4.9 11.1 11.0 5.0 10.9 10.5 5.1
Hyderabad 9.8 9.5 4.1 8.7 8.5 4.1 10.0 8.9 4.9
Jaipur 8.3 8.0 3.5 9.1 8.6 4.1 9.5 9.2 4.3
Kolkata 11.1 10.4 4.5 9.8 9.8 4.7 11.5 11.1 4.5
Lucknow 8.3 7.9 3.7 10.0 10.1 3.8 10.1 9.6 3.8
Mumbai 8.0 8.0 2.8 7.8 7.9 3.1 7.6 7.2 3.1
Nagpur 11.4 11.3 4.1 10.7 10.3 4.7 11.5 11.8 4.7
Patna 8.8 9.2 2.1 9.8 10.2 2.6 10.6 10.6 2.9
Thiruvananthapuram 8.9 8.1 3.9 7.0 5.4 4.3 9.9 9.5 4.8
Chandigarh 8.1 8.3 2.8 8.1 8.2 3.2 8.8 9.1 3.0
Ranchi 10.0 10.3 3.7 9.2 9.1 4.4 10.3 10.5 3.8
Raipur 13.4 16.1 4.3 12.7 15.3 4.8 12.6 16.0 4.8
All 9.1 9.0 4.0 9.0 8.5 4.3 9.6 9.2 4.5

Cross-tabulation of Current and Three-month Ahead Inflation Expectations- For 18 cities
a) December 2015
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 5                         1     2   8
1-2 2 7 3                             1 13
2-3 5 6 18 3 1 1   1   1                 36
3-4     10 24 9 3 3 1 3 2               1 56
4-5     25 24 60 41 73 19 6 15 2   1   2   1 5 274
5-6     12 24 64 132 114 125 33 31 10 4     2 3   12 566
6-7       13 60 53 64 73 73 21 7 1 1   2 2 1 4 375
7-8       2 19 46 41 103 82 84 12 7   1 1 1 2 5 406
8-9       8 4 14 15 43 74 85 36 10 3 2 4 5 2 4 309
9-10       3 3 16 11 50 47 230 72 94 26 10 47 3 37 35 684
10-11       2 7 22 5 11 24 41 190 90 69 28 20 18 30 31 588
11-12         1 1 1 3 5 27 26 68 20 22 12 7 8 15 216
12-13             2 1 3 11 33 4 27 16 13 7 3 1 121
13-14             1 1 2 4 18 7 8 11 4 4 8 3 71
14-15         4 2 1 5 4 19 25 12 9 8 50 27 53 10 229
15-16       2 5 2 2 3 1 8 33 3 8 10 7 43 44 11 182
>=16       3 14 11 5 7 13 62 61 2 18 6 16 48 841 77 1184
Total 12 13 68 108 251 344 338 446 370 641 525 302 190 115 180 168 1032 215 5318
  One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 5                               3   8
1-2   9 1   1                         2 13
2-3   3 20 10                           3 36
3-4     6 23 18     1                   8 56
4-5     5 30 68 112 2 2                 3 52 274
5-6     11 23 67 143 267 3   1             1 50 566
6-7       5 46 65 70 160 1               6 22 375
7-8     1 1 18 24 47 89 204 1             4 17 406
8-9   1     8 6 10 35 53 163 7 3       1 6 16 309
9-10       1 6 11 6 38 53 220 216 1 1     1 60 70 684
10-11         2 4 1 19 28 65 176 219 1     2 42 29 588
11-12               3 10 18 16 59 60       34 16 216
12-13             1 5 2 20 14 12 26 29   1 5 6 121
13-14               1 1 10 5 7 1 26 6   9 5 71
14-15               1 3 25 6 5 3 19 48 13 84 22 229
15-16           1       20 3 5 6 6 22 48 55 16 182
>=16               1 3 14 6 6 2 4 13 8 1028 99 1184
Total 5 13 44 93 234 366 404 358 358 557 449 317 100 84 89 74 1340 433 5318
b) September 2015
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 21 2       1   1     1 1       1 2 4 34
1-2 4 10 5 6 5 1 1 1     1             5 39
2-3 1 13 11 7 13 4 4 1     1             9 64
3-4   3 11 26 50 15 8 5 2 1   1     1     14 137
4-5   3 19 32 64 93 50 32 6 12 1 1 2 1 1     29 346
5-6   3 3 22 40 92 95 81 28 20 13 1 2   1 1   19 421
6-7   1 1 6 14 42 70 71 46 38 13 6 1 1       7 317
7-8     2 3   28 32 49 89 76 39 10 1   5     5 339
8-9   2 1   2 7 12 12 26 120 56 13 6 3 1 1 1 3 266
9-10   3 7 3 22 10 13 34 40 155 175 146 67 28 87 11 42 57 900
10-11     7 6 4 21 5 6 8 22 80 132 129 26 40 55 28 43 612
11-12     2   1 2 2 3 2 14 14 25 30 33 27 10 10 8 183
12-13       1 2 3     1 4 5 4 21 23 12 19 9 3 107
13-14     1 2 1 1 2     3 3   4 8 8 11 10 1 55
14-15     1 1 10 1   1   13 6 4 3 8 34 31 92 23 228
15-16     3 6 4 8 1 1   3 7 3 3 1 12 32 73 18 175
>=16     16 16 32 20 2 5 8 46 46 2 5 7 20 16 774 154 1169
Total 26 40 90 137 264 349 297 303 256 527 461 349 274 139 249 188 1041 402 5392
  One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 19   2   2   2       1         1 2 5 34
1-2 2 11 3 7 5 3 1     1             1 5 39
2-3 3 9 20 5 9 5 2 2 1 1               7 64
3-4 2 2 26 33 13 17 9 7 5 7 1 2   1 1   2 9 137
4-5   5 10 65 89 25 19 35 11 31 11   2   3 2 3 35 346
5-6   2 3 15 101 104 47 28 19 41 19 5 4 1 5 7 3 17 421
6-7     1 10 36 78 50 28 19 26 18 10 13 6 5 2 6 9 317
7-8     1 5 25 14 59 60 20 52 32 16 19 6 8 8 5 9 339
8-9       5 6 7 6 17 35 13 64 30 47 7 11 4 4 10 266
9-10 1   1 4 10 12 8 13 136 227 49 90 48 28 101 24 83 65 900
10-11     1 1 1 5 4 7 3 61 126 43 66 27 58 67 96 46 612
11-12     1   1 2 2 3 3 6 43 38 4 8 20 23 18 11 183
12-13               2 5 4 4 12 31 8 9 15 13 4 107
13-14     1         1 1 2 1 2 7 15 4 8 12 1 55
14-15     1   3 1   2 4 8 4 2 4 52 58 5 60 24 228
15-16         1 1     1 2 7 2     31 44 61 25 175
>=16         6 11 7 4 8 16 17 5 4 5 17 30 886 153 1169
Total 27 29 71 150 308 285 216 209 271 498 397 257 249 164 331 240 1255 435 5392
c) June 2015
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 3 2 3 1 2 1 1                     3 16
1-2 3 9 6 2 3   1 1 1                 2 28
2-3 1 9 16 23 10 2 2 1 1                   65
3-4 1 11 14 19 27 10 3                     1 86
4-5 3 12 7 81 77 68 65 9 4 3 2 8 1         11 351
5-6 5 9 12 22 29 121 159 89 26 13 9 6 1 1 1     6 509
6-7 3 10 15 32 32 43 79 141 59 16 20 12 2 1 1 1 9 2 478
7-8 7 8 11 8 32 39 42 105 75 22 38 15 2 1 3 1 8 3 420
8-9 4 8 5 6 2 4 1 45 110 16 77 25 11 3 3   7 4 331
9-10 3 6 5 7 10 11 41 51 95 128 240 129 81 21 96 15 44 23 1006
10-11 2 4 9 5 4 28 5 6 28 36 158 75 77 16 52 33 32 7 577
11-12 3 1   2 1     3 3 12 13 48 27 33 32 9 10 2 199
12-13     2     1   1 1 2 2 8 13 15 21 14 3   83
13-14     1             1 1 1 1 13 7 11 7 1 44
14-15       5 10 8 2 5   13 12 9 12 10 45 33 91 5 260
15-16       4 6 5 5 2 3 4 11 1 2 2 14 49 78 12 198
>=16       6 7 11 11 12 10 42 33 12 13 12 17 29 598 25 838
Total 38 89 106 223 252 352 417 471 416 308 616 349 243 128 292 195 887 107 5489

 

One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)

Current inflation rate (per cent)

  <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 5   2   1 1 1 1 1 1 1             2 16
1-2 4 4 4 4 2   2     2 1             5 28
2-3   12 14 5 7 5 4 2 1 2       1       12 65
3-4 4   25 24 9 5 4 5 1 1 1   1 1     1 4 86
4-5 2 3 4 108 87 24 21 16 15 30 7 2 1   6 1 3 21 351
5-6 3 1 5 4 157 168 25 35 34 36 29 1 1   1 1 3 5 509
6-7     9 3 6 128 163 21 44 46 21 11 6   4 1 9 6 478
7-8       4 7 2 45 169 27 46 50 13 14 8 10 8 8 9 420
8-9 9 2 3 9 13 6 5 13 108 22 60 22 15 7 8 7 11 11 331
9-10 2 1 1 1 14 5 4 8 183 307 54 44 60 36 110 35 103 38 1006
10-11 1 1     5 2 11 7 6 49 200 56 44 24 43 53 62 13 577
11-12   1   1 4   3 9   1 23 61 17 10 18 23 24 4 199
12-13         1   1 1   3   8 22 1 8 15 17 6 83
13-14               1         1 11 6 4 14 7 44
14-15   1 1 2 6 1 1 1 1 12 5 2 3 34 65 23 80 22 260
15-16     1       1 1     3 1 1 1 15 69 92 13 198
>=16 4   1   2 2   7 5 15 5 3 2   14 13 701 64 838
Total 34 26 70 165 321 349 291 297 426 573 460 224 188 134 308 253 1128 242 5489
d) March 2015
  Three-month ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 6 2   2 4 1     1 1 3 2 1       4 2 29
1-2 2 10 9 9 4 1                     1 5 41
2-3   15 23 37 16 4 3 1 1 1 1         2   12 116
3-4   4 57 40 38 15 4 1   3 1 1           15 179
4-5 4 15 17 165 154 69 67 30 28 22 3 1 1   3   4 22 605
5-6 4 7 10 19 106 117 68 61 20 8 14 4     3 4 3 14 462
6-7 4 7 4 25 17 180 72 43 28 8 8 2 1 2 3   5 5 414
7-8 6 10 12 10 38 36 152 118 67 50 12 9 1   3   1 10 535
8-9 8 3 6 4 6 3 4 157 55 37 25 7 4 3 2 1 5 9 339
9-10 4 3     11 9 2 24 232 198 132 100 34 10 59 7 34 28 887
10-11 1 3 4 7 29 13 3 4 35 85 157 67 44 9 13 24 31 13 542
11-12 1 2     15 2 3 26 4 22 22 42 28 9 17 6 12 2 213
12-13           1       3 2 17 17 17 6 4 5 5 77
13-14       1       2   1 2 1 6 16 8 1 6   44
14-15 3 3 2   6   2 6 4 9 2 3 1 31 38 20 59 14 203
15-16 1 1 2 1 1 4   3 2 12 1 3 1 1 30 73 46 3 185
>=16 4 8 7 3 14 4 3 4 4 25 22 41 5 4 15 7 422 32 624
Total 48 93 153 323 459 459 383 480 481 485 407 300 144 102 200 149 638 191 5495
  One-year ahead inflation rate (per cent)
Current inflation rate (per cent)   <1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 >=16 No idea Total
<1 1 3     2     1 6 1             4 11 29
1-2 7 10 7 5 7   1   2               1 1 41
2-3   18 36 9 20 6 3 3 5 6 3         1   6 116
3-4 2 7 35 34 14 17 20 12 15 4 3 3     1   6 6 179
4-5   5 10 130 141 38 44 102 18 44 7 6 2   8 4 6 40 605
5-6   3 8 9 69 98 46 91 27 24 30 6 3 1 6 4 11 26 462
6-7 2   5 32 5 107 69 48 22 25 11 7 4 1 4 3 55 14 414
7-8 1 21 16 34 30 20 139 102 27 44 25 12 5 2 5 7 30 15 535
8-9 5 9 20 16 11 7 40 60 62 27 17 6 6 4 10 6 22 11 339
9-10 1 2 7 3 63 15 5 9 144 294 76 52 25 22 64 23 55 27 887
10-11 2 5 5 4 12 8 10 22 9 72 176 53 24 11 21 33 31 44 542
11-12 1     3 5 6 10 8 3 4 44 57 8 6 18 10 21 9 213
12-13     1       1 3 1 5   14 29 3 3 9 7 1 77
13-14   1 2     1 2 1 1       6 16 6 2 3 3 44
14-15 3   1 1 5 3 2 2   6 14 1   27 64 32 35 7 203
15-16 1   2 1 1 2 5 2 2 1 3 1 1 4 30 70 54 5 185
>=16 9 1 2   1 6 11 19 6 13 5 5 3 2 11 14 493 23 624
Total 35 85 157 281 386 334 408 485 350 570 414 223 116 99 251 218 834 249 5495

1 The previous round of the survey data based on 16 cities were released on February 3, 2016 on the RBI website. The survey results are based on views of the respondents and are not necessarily shared by the Reserve Bank of India.


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