आज, रिजर्व बैंक ने मई 2019 चक्र के मुद्रास्फीति पर घरेलू अपेक्षाओं के सर्वेक्षण (IESH)1 के परिणाम जारी किए। सर्वेक्षण 18 प्रमुख शहरों में आयोजित किया गया था और इसके परिणाम 5,714 शहरी परिवारों के प्रत्युत्तरों पर आधारित हैं।
विशेष:
i. जहाँ तीन महीने आगे के परिवारों की मेडियन मुद्रास्फीति अपेक्षाओं में 20 आधार अंकों की गिरावट आई है, एक साल आगे की मेडियन मुद्रास्फीति की अपेक्षाएँ मार्च 2019 के दौर से अपरिवर्तित रहीं (चार्ट 1 a, 1 b, तालिका 2); तीन महीने आगे और एक साल आगे की मेडियन मुद्रास्फीति अपेक्षाएँ सितंबर 2018 के दौर के बाद से गिरावट पर है।
ii. वर्तमान के लिए मेडियन मुद्रास्फीति की धारणाओं में 30 आधार अंकों की गिरावट के कारण, सर्वेक्षण के इस चक्र में परिवारों की मौजूदा मुद्रास्फीति धारणाओं और पहले संदर्भित किए गए दोनों समय क्षितिज के लिए भविष्य के लिए अपेक्षाओं के बीच की अंतर चौड़ी हो गई।
iii. परिवारों का एक बढ़ा हुआ अनुपात तीन महीने आगे और एक साल आगे दोनों के लिए विभिन्न उत्पाद समूहों में मूल्य वृद्धि की उच्च दर की उम्मीद करता है (तालिका 1a, 1b)।
नोट: कृपया समय श्रृंखला डेटा के लिए एक्सेल फ़ाइल देखें।
Table 1(a): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for Three Months ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended |
May-18 |
Nov-18 |
Dec-18 |
Mar-19 |
May-19 |
General |
|
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Prices will increase |
82.3 |
77.9 |
0.91 |
72.9 |
1.04 |
74.8 |
1.02 |
78.3 |
1.01 |
Price increase more than current rate |
50.5 |
47.4 |
1.12 |
46.2 |
1.14 |
44.1 |
1.08 |
50.0 |
1.22 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
25.1 |
25.6 |
1.00 |
23.3 |
0.96 |
26.9 |
0.97 |
25.6 |
1.01 |
Price increase less than current rate |
6.7 |
4.9 |
0.59 |
3.4 |
0.39 |
3.8 |
0.41 |
2.8 |
0.32 |
No changes in prices |
16.0 |
19.2 |
0.87 |
21.2 |
0.98 |
21.9 |
0.98 |
18.4 |
0.96 |
Decline in prices |
1.7 |
2.9 |
0.33 |
5.8 |
0.46 |
3.4 |
0.36 |
3.3 |
0.35 |
Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
82.0 |
77.2 |
0.89 |
70.7 |
0.98 |
73.7 |
0.96 |
78.5 |
0.87 |
Price increase more than current rate |
48.3 |
46.4 |
1.03 |
42.7 |
1.08 |
43.6 |
1.06 |
48.5 |
1.13 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
24.5 |
23.6 |
0.91 |
22.4 |
0.87 |
24.1 |
0.88 |
24.7 |
0.94 |
Price increase less than current rate |
9.3 |
7.3 |
0.63 |
5.7 |
0.48 |
6.0 |
0.49 |
5.4 |
0.46 |
No changes in prices |
13.5 |
16.9 |
0.81 |
17.2 |
0.79 |
17.5 |
0.84 |
15.0 |
0.77 |
Decline in prices |
4.5 |
5.9 |
0.46 |
12.0 |
0.65 |
8.8 |
0.56 |
6.5 |
0.47 |
Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
78.4 |
75.8 |
0.90 |
67.6 |
1.00 |
71.3 |
0.94 |
75.8 |
0.91 |
Price increase more than current rate |
45.8 |
45.2 |
1.07 |
40.8 |
1.08 |
41.0 |
1.02 |
45.2 |
1.15 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
24.0 |
24.1 |
0.94 |
21.6 |
0.89 |
24.5 |
0.86 |
25.3 |
0.91 |
Price increase less than current rate |
8.6 |
6.5 |
0.61 |
5.3 |
0.47 |
5.7 |
0.48 |
5.4 |
0.44 |
No changes in prices |
18.1 |
18.5 |
0.79 |
20.5 |
0.85 |
21.9 |
0.87 |
18.1 |
0.81 |
Decline in prices |
3.6 |
5.8 |
0.48 |
11.9 |
0.63 |
6.8 |
0.47 |
6.0 |
0.47 |
Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
63.2 |
57.9 |
1.06 |
56.8 |
1.08 |
59.5 |
1.05 |
61.3 |
1.12 |
Price increase more than current rate |
36.7 |
33.8 |
1.03 |
34.8 |
1.08 |
35.2 |
0.99 |
37.0 |
1.12 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
19.9 |
18.9 |
0.80 |
17.9 |
0.85 |
19.3 |
0.79 |
19.9 |
0.85 |
Price increase less than current rate |
6.6 |
5.2 |
0.50 |
4.1 |
0.39 |
5.0 |
0.41 |
4.3 |
0.41 |
No changes in prices |
26.8 |
29.7 |
0.98 |
24.8 |
0.91 |
27.7 |
0.96 |
27.2 |
1.01 |
Decline in prices |
10.0 |
12.4 |
0.66 |
18.4 |
0.77 |
12.8 |
0.62 |
11.5 |
0.64 |
Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
71.6 |
68.7 |
0.96 |
69.1 |
1.03 |
68.1 |
0.98 |
70.9 |
1.06 |
Price increase more than current rate |
47.6 |
44.5 |
1.05 |
46.5 |
1.06 |
44.2 |
0.97 |
46.9 |
1.13 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
18.2 |
19.0 |
0.83 |
18.2 |
0.79 |
19.5 |
0.76 |
19.8 |
0.83 |
Price increase less than current rate |
5.8 |
5.2 |
0.51 |
4.5 |
0.41 |
4.4 |
0.41 |
4.2 |
0.39 |
No changes in prices |
20.8 |
23.7 |
0.88 |
22.2 |
0.94 |
22.4 |
0.88 |
21.7 |
0.96 |
Decline in prices |
7.7 |
7.6 |
0.54 |
8.6 |
0.57 |
9.5 |
0.60 |
7.3 |
0.52 |
Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
72.0 |
68.2 |
0.99 |
65.7 |
1.10 |
66.4 |
1.02 |
68.6 |
1.03 |
Price increase more than current rate |
42.9 |
40.4 |
1.06 |
40.2 |
1.11 |
39.2 |
1.00 |
42.6 |
1.14 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
22.6 |
22.4 |
0.86 |
21.2 |
0.82 |
21.9 |
0.84 |
21.7 |
0.89 |
Price increase less than current rate |
6.6 |
5.3 |
0.48 |
4.3 |
0.41 |
5.3 |
0.45 |
4.3 |
0.41 |
No changes in prices |
25.6 |
28.8 |
0.97 |
28.2 |
1.02 |
28.9 |
0.99 |
27.7 |
0.99 |
Decline in prices |
2.4 |
3.0 |
0.35 |
6.1 |
0.45 |
4.7 |
0.42 |
3.8 |
0.37 |
1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses from the November 2018 round onwards. For earlier rounds, the results are based on sample proportions. |
2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |
Table 1(b): Product-wise Expectations of Prices for One Year ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended |
May-18 |
Nov-18 |
Dec-18 |
Mar-19 |
May-19 |
General |
|
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Prices will increase |
91.1 |
89.7 |
0.65 |
83.8 |
0.82 |
84.4 |
0.90 |
86.3 |
0.77 |
Price increase more than current rate |
62.6 |
60.0 |
1.11 |
57.5 |
1.15 |
54.6 |
1.08 |
58.5 |
1.19 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
23.4 |
26.4 |
0.97 |
23.3 |
1.00 |
26.6 |
0.93 |
24.9 |
1.03 |
Price increase less than current rate |
5.0 |
3.4 |
0.43 |
3.0 |
0.37 |
3.2 |
0.38 |
3.0 |
0.32 |
No changes in prices |
6.5 |
7.6 |
0.57 |
11.3 |
0.73 |
12.6 |
0.83 |
10.2 |
0.70 |
Decline in prices |
2.4 |
2.7 |
0.33 |
4.9 |
0.43 |
3.0 |
0.33 |
3.5 |
0.37 |
Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
85.6 |
85.4 |
0.73 |
80.0 |
0.82 |
80.1 |
0.87 |
83.1 |
0.76 |
Price increase more than current rate |
53.4 |
52.3 |
1.14 |
50.6 |
1.08 |
47.2 |
1.06 |
50.4 |
1.19 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
25.2 |
27.5 |
0.96 |
24.7 |
0.93 |
28.0 |
0.88 |
27.6 |
0.97 |
Price increase less than current rate |
7.0 |
5.7 |
0.51 |
4.7 |
0.43 |
5.0 |
0.44 |
5.1 |
0.43 |
No changes in prices |
9.4 |
9.4 |
0.60 |
12.1 |
0.68 |
14.0 |
0.76 |
11.4 |
0.64 |
Decline in prices |
5.0 |
5.2 |
0.45 |
7.9 |
0.52 |
5.9 |
0.45 |
5.5 |
0.43 |
Non- Food Product |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
82.7 |
82.4 |
0.78 |
76.4 |
0.92 |
78.2 |
0.89 |
81.3 |
0.81 |
Price increase more than current rate |
51.1 |
51.6 |
1.10 |
47.5 |
1.09 |
45.7 |
1.05 |
49.7 |
1.18 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
25.3 |
25.2 |
0.90 |
24.2 |
0.92 |
27.5 |
0.89 |
26.8 |
0.99 |
Price increase less than current rate |
6.3 |
5.6 |
0.50 |
4.7 |
0.43 |
5.0 |
0.41 |
4.9 |
0.44 |
No changes in prices |
13.2 |
12.7 |
0.68 |
15.8 |
0.78 |
16.9 |
0.80 |
13.7 |
0.72 |
Decline in prices |
4.1 |
4.9 |
0.43 |
7.7 |
0.54 |
5.0 |
0.41 |
5.0 |
0.43 |
Household Durables |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
72.5 |
70.1 |
0.98 |
66.9 |
1.02 |
68.3 |
0.99 |
68.8 |
1.04 |
Price increase more than current rate |
45.2 |
43.0 |
1.10 |
42.0 |
1.09 |
41.3 |
1.02 |
42.9 |
1.14 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
21.5 |
22.0 |
0.88 |
20.4 |
0.84 |
22.6 |
0.81 |
21.9 |
0.88 |
Price increase less than current rate |
5.8 |
5.1 |
0.47 |
4.5 |
0.40 |
4.4 |
0.41 |
4.0 |
0.40 |
No changes in prices |
19.2 |
20.4 |
0.85 |
20.1 |
0.91 |
21.9 |
0.89 |
21.5 |
0.91 |
Decline in prices |
8.3 |
9.6 |
0.61 |
13.0 |
0.69 |
9.8 |
0.57 |
9.7 |
0.59 |
Cost of Housing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
79.8 |
80.6 |
0.79 |
79.6 |
0.85 |
77.6 |
0.86 |
79.8 |
0.84 |
Price increase more than current rate |
55.2 |
53.8 |
1.04 |
55.9 |
1.00 |
51.0 |
1.01 |
54.3 |
1.05 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
19.6 |
22.5 |
0.91 |
19.8 |
0.78 |
22.9 |
0.77 |
21.9 |
0.84 |
Price increase less than current rate |
5.0 |
4.3 |
0.44 |
3.9 |
0.39 |
3.8 |
0.36 |
3.6 |
0.37 |
No changes in prices |
13.9 |
13.3 |
0.68 |
13.7 |
0.74 |
15.2 |
0.75 |
14.3 |
0.77 |
Decline in prices |
6.3 |
6.1 |
0.50 |
6.7 |
0.50 |
7.2 |
0.53 |
5.9 |
0.45 |
Cost of Services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices will increase |
84.2 |
83.3 |
0.75 |
77.9 |
0.88 |
78.8 |
0.87 |
80.9 |
0.83 |
Price increase more than current rate |
52.9 |
52.2 |
1.11 |
49.0 |
1.11 |
47.5 |
1.02 |
50.3 |
1.12 |
Price increase similar to current rate |
24.4 |
25.7 |
0.92 |
24.1 |
0.90 |
26.4 |
0.87 |
25.3 |
0.94 |
Price increase less than current rate |
6.9 |
5.4 |
0.48 |
4.8 |
0.44 |
4.8 |
0.42 |
5.3 |
0.49 |
No changes in prices |
13.5 |
13.5 |
0.68 |
17.1 |
0.82 |
17.4 |
0.81 |
15.5 |
0.77 |
Decline in prices |
2.4 |
3.1 |
0.34 |
5.0 |
0.44 |
3.9 |
0.37 |
3.6 |
0.36 |
1. The table provides estimates and standard errors for qualitative responses from the November 2018 round onwards. For earlier rounds, the results are based on sample proportions. |
2. Constituent items may not add up to the corresponding total, due to rounding off. |
Table 2: Inflation Expectations of Various Groups: May 2019 |
|
Current Perception |
Three Months ahead Expectation |
One Year ahead Expectation |
Mean |
Median |
Mean |
Median |
Mean |
Median |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Overall |
7.8 |
0.10 |
6.6 |
0.15 |
8.6 |
0.10 |
7.6 |
0.12 |
8.4 |
0.12 |
8.1 |
0.16 |
Gender-wise |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
7.8 |
0.13 |
6.6 |
0.16 |
8.5 |
0.13 |
7.5 |
0.16 |
8.3 |
0.16 |
7.8 |
0.20 |
Female |
8.0 |
0.15 |
6.6 |
0.23 |
8.8 |
0.15 |
7.8 |
0.17 |
8.7 |
0.17 |
8.4 |
0.21 |
Category-wise |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Financial Sector Employees |
7.2 |
0.40 |
6.2 |
0.27 |
7.8 |
0.45 |
6.9 |
0.34 |
7.7 |
0.67 |
7.0 |
0.49 |
Other Employees |
7.7 |
0.18 |
6.7 |
0.29 |
8.5 |
0.19 |
7.6 |
0.26 |
8.1 |
0.22 |
7.7 |
0.28 |
Self Employed |
7.8 |
0.19 |
6.9 |
0.26 |
8.5 |
0.19 |
7.6 |
0.23 |
8.2 |
0.23 |
7.7 |
0.28 |
Homemaker |
7.9 |
0.18 |
6.5 |
0.25 |
8.7 |
0.17 |
7.8 |
0.19 |
8.7 |
0.20 |
8.4 |
0.23 |
Retired Persons |
8.3 |
0.33 |
7.3 |
0.55 |
9.2 |
0.34 |
8.8 |
0.69 |
8.9 |
0.40 |
8.9 |
0.84 |
Daily Workers |
8.0 |
0.23 |
6.7 |
0.29 |
8.8 |
0.24 |
7.9 |
0.34 |
8.7 |
0.28 |
8.6 |
0.36 |
Other category |
7.0 |
0.20 |
6.1 |
0.22 |
7.8 |
0.22 |
6.8 |
0.29 |
7.8 |
0.27 |
7.5 |
0.34 |
Age Group-wise |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Up to 25 years |
7.2 |
0.17 |
6.1 |
0.18 |
8.1 |
0.18 |
7.2 |
0.19 |
8.1 |
0.21 |
7.8 |
0.25 |
25 to 30 years |
7.7 |
0.17 |
6.6 |
0.27 |
8.5 |
0.18 |
7.6 |
0.20 |
8.3 |
0.21 |
8.0 |
0.25 |
30 to 35 years |
7.9 |
0.20 |
6.9 |
0.30 |
8.7 |
0.21 |
7.7 |
0.23 |
8.7 |
0.25 |
8.4 |
0.38 |
35 to 40 years |
7.7 |
0.18 |
6.6 |
0.32 |
8.6 |
0.19 |
7.8 |
0.22 |
8.4 |
0.24 |
8.2 |
0.29 |
40 to 45 years |
8.3 |
0.24 |
7.0 |
0.41 |
9.0 |
0.24 |
7.7 |
0.32 |
8.6 |
0.29 |
8.4 |
0.30 |
45 to 50 years |
8.2 |
0.25 |
6.8 |
0.38 |
9.1 |
0.25 |
8.1 |
0.34 |
8.7 |
0.28 |
8.4 |
0.32 |
50 to 55 years |
8.0 |
0.28 |
6.6 |
0.38 |
8.7 |
0.28 |
7.8 |
0.40 |
8.3 |
0.37 |
7.9 |
0.47 |
55 to 60 years |
8.6 |
0.31 |
7.7 |
0.45 |
9.5 |
0.33 |
8.6 |
0.64 |
8.8 |
0.36 |
8.5 |
0.68 |
60 years and above |
8.0 |
0.29 |
6.8 |
0.43 |
8.8 |
0.30 |
8.2 |
0.47 |
8.5 |
0.34 |
8.1 |
0.46 |
City-wise |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ahmedabad |
7.2 |
0.33 |
6.4 |
0.43 |
8.2 |
0.29 |
7.6 |
0.32 |
7.5 |
0.37 |
7.5 |
0.34 |
Bengaluru |
6.5 |
0.36 |
5.3 |
0.24 |
7.6 |
0.32 |
6.3 |
0.33 |
8.5 |
0.28 |
7.9 |
0.50 |
Bhopal |
8.6 |
0.50 |
7.8 |
0.89 |
9.5 |
0.67 |
8.9 |
0.97 |
8.3 |
0.69 |
8.5 |
1.27 |
Bhubaneswar |
5.6 |
0.66 |
5.1 |
0.37 |
6.7 |
0.77 |
6.1 |
0.52 |
7.9 |
0.73 |
7.5 |
0.61 |
Chennai |
8.7 |
0.34 |
8.5 |
0.51 |
10.0 |
0.43 |
10.0 |
0.58 |
11.0 |
0.49 |
11.4 |
0.89 |
Delhi |
7.0 |
0.20 |
5.9 |
0.15 |
7.5 |
0.22 |
6.6 |
0.29 |
7.0 |
0.27 |
6.6 |
0.40 |
Guwahati |
5.8 |
0.52 |
5.2 |
0.38 |
5.7 |
0.50 |
5.1 |
0.52 |
5.6 |
0.59 |
5.2 |
0.53 |
Hyderabad |
8.4 |
0.39 |
6.7 |
0.48 |
9.7 |
0.42 |
8.4 |
0.62 |
10.4 |
0.49 |
10.2 |
0.76 |
Jaipur |
5.9 |
0.25 |
5.7 |
0.14 |
6.5 |
0.27 |
6.2 |
0.38 |
5.9 |
0.43 |
6.0 |
0.44 |
Kolkata |
10.4 |
0.46 |
10.0 |
0.51 |
11.1 |
0.45 |
10.9 |
0.72 |
10.9 |
0.49 |
11.2 |
0.99 |
Lucknow |
8.5 |
0.41 |
8.5 |
0.49 |
9.7 |
0.45 |
9.5 |
0.60 |
9.9 |
0.69 |
10.3 |
0.48 |
Mumbai |
8.4 |
0.25 |
7.6 |
0.31 |
9.2 |
0.27 |
8.7 |
0.52 |
8.1 |
0.37 |
8.1 |
0.54 |
Nagpur |
6.5 |
0.36 |
5.3 |
0.26 |
6.6 |
0.39 |
5.5 |
0.37 |
5.5 |
0.68 |
4.8 |
1.44 |
Patna |
6.3 |
0.31 |
5.8 |
0.20 |
6.6 |
0.34 |
5.9 |
0.35 |
6.8 |
0.40 |
6.6 |
0.67 |
Thiruvananthapuram |
6.0 |
0.61 |
5.3 |
0.35 |
7.4 |
0.65 |
6.8 |
0.71 |
9.5 |
0.86 |
9.1 |
1.02 |
Chandigarh |
7.8 |
0.66 |
7.3 |
1.07 |
7.4 |
0.65 |
6.8 |
0.81 |
7.3 |
0.73 |
7.3 |
0.76 |
Ranchi |
6.9 |
0.20 |
6.8 |
0.19 |
7.3 |
0.33 |
7.4 |
0.23 |
6.8 |
0.51 |
7.6 |
0.23 |
Raipur |
7.9 |
0.48 |
6.9 |
1.08 |
6.8 |
0.62 |
6.1 |
0.79 |
5.0 |
0.96 |
3.2 |
1.95 |
Note: The table provides estimates and standard errors for quantitative responses for the May 2019 round. |
Table 3: Household Inflation Expectations – Current Perception, Three Months and One Year Ahead Expectations |
|
Current Perception |
Three Months ahead Expectation |
One Year ahead Expectation |
Mean |
Median |
Mean |
Median |
Mean |
Median |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
Estimate |
SE |
May-18 |
8.7 |
-- |
7.9 |
-- |
9.4 |
-- |
8.7 |
-- |
9.7 |
-- |
9.9 |
-- |
Nov-18 |
9.1 |
0.11 |
8.2 |
0.18 |
9.7 |
0.12 |
9.0 |
0.22 |
9.6 |
0.12 |
9.8 |
0.25 |
Dec-18 |
8.3 |
0.11 |
7.1 |
0.18 |
9.1 |
0.11 |
8.2 |
0.15 |
8.6 |
0.13 |
8.5 |
0.17 |
Mar-19 |
8.0 |
0.09 |
6.9 |
0.14 |
8.7 |
0.10 |
7.8 |
0.12 |
8.3 |
0.12 |
8.1 |
0.17 |
May-19 |
7.8 |
0.10 |
6.6 |
0.15 |
8.6 |
0.10 |
7.6 |
0.12 |
8.4 |
0.12 |
8.1 |
0.16 |
‘--‘ Calculation of Standard Error was initiated from the September 2018 round onwards. |
Note: The table provides estimates and standard errors for quantitative responses. |
Table 4: Households Expecting General Price Movements in Coherence with Movements in Price Expectations of Various Product Groups: Three Months Ahead and One Year Ahead |
(Percentage of Respondents) |
Survey period ended |
Food |
Non-Food |
Households durables |
Housing |
Cost of services |
Three Months Ahead |
May-18 |
67.5 |
65.6 |
56.6 |
60.0 |
65.0 |
Nov-18 |
65.6 |
66.8 |
56.5 |
61.4 |
66.2 |
Dec-18 |
62.9 |
64.0 |
55.3 |
62.4 |
64.3 |
Mar-19 |
62.6 |
62.3 |
54.9 |
58.8 |
63.4 |
May-19 |
66.4 |
65.4 |
56.8 |
62.0 |
66.2 |
One Year Ahead |
Mar-18 |
72.4 |
70.8 |
62.5 |
67.4 |
72.1 |
Nov-18 |
73.5 |
72.3 |
62.7 |
67.7 |
73.2 |
Dec-18 |
72.5 |
71.7 |
62.5 |
70.3 |
72.9 |
Mar-19 |
70.2 |
68.8 |
61.8 |
66.0 |
69.9 |
May-19 |
71.6 |
71.3 |
62.7 |
70.7 |
72.5 |
Note: Figures are based on sample observations |
Table 5(a): Cross-tabulation of Number of Respondents by Current Inflation Perception and Three Months Ahead Inflation Expectations: May 2019 |
Three Months Ahead Inflation Rate (per cent) |
Current Inflation Rate (per cent) |
|
<1 |
1-<2 |
2-<3 |
3-<4 |
4-<5 |
5-<6 |
6-<7 |
7-<8 |
8-<9 |
9-<10 |
10-<11 |
11-<12 |
12-<13 |
13-<14 |
14-<15 |
15-<16 |
>=16 |
No idea |
Total |
<1 |
24 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
42 |
1-<2 |
4 |
38 |
15 |
8 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
2-<3 |
10 |
9 |
129 |
68 |
47 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
292 |
3-<4 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
178 |
118 |
94 |
16 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
437 |
4-<5 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
20 |
255 |
109 |
87 |
22 |
10 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
522 |
5-<6 |
6 |
7 |
12 |
28 |
31 |
579 |
190 |
210 |
71 |
13 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
1225 |
6-<7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
210 |
123 |
65 |
15 |
16 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
463 |
7-<8 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
11 |
4 |
198 |
130 |
60 |
43 |
3 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
467 |
8-<9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
141 |
65 |
111 |
9 |
10 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
366 |
9-<10 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
84 |
39 |
22 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
171 |
10-<11 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
7 |
18 |
4 |
347 |
51 |
137 |
37 |
8 |
107 |
41 |
0 |
785 |
11-<12 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
23 |
13 |
10 |
2 |
7 |
5 |
0 |
65 |
12-<13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
23 |
6 |
21 |
25 |
5 |
0 |
84 |
13-<14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
20 |
14-<15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
6 |
12 |
0 |
28 |
15-<16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
54 |
72 |
0 |
140 |
>=16 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
508 |
3 |
537 |
Total |
53 |
66 |
199 |
316 |
471 |
875 |
517 |
571 |
437 |
243 |
647 |
109 |
209 |
66 |
47 |
233 |
649 |
6 |
5714 |
Note: Figures are based on sample observations |
Table 5(b): Cross-tabulation of Number of Respondents by Current Inflation Perception and One Year Ahead Inflation Expectations: May 2019 |
One Year Ahead Inflation Rate (per cent) |
Current Inflation Rate (per cent) |
|
<1 |
1-<2 |
2-<3 |
3-<4 |
4-<5 |
5-<6 |
6-<7 |
7-<8 |
8-<9 |
9-<10 |
10-<11 |
11-<12 |
12-<13 |
13-<14 |
14-<15 |
15-<16 |
>=16 |
No idea |
Total |
<1 |
22 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
42 |
1-<2 |
18 |
18 |
15 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
70 |
2-<3 |
58 |
3 |
65 |
39 |
60 |
44 |
9 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
292 |
3-<4 |
70 |
1 |
1 |
102 |
48 |
102 |
55 |
29 |
13 |
3 |
9 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
437 |
4-<5 |
96 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
134 |
77 |
80 |
47 |
39 |
11 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
522 |
5-<6 |
168 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
16 |
346 |
109 |
167 |
149 |
42 |
161 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
18 |
18 |
1 |
1225 |
6-<7 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
125 |
89 |
74 |
40 |
41 |
7 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
463 |
7-<8 |
64 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
117 |
88 |
81 |
67 |
8 |
16 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
467 |
8-<9 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
87 |
31 |
114 |
23 |
21 |
12 |
0 |
12 |
6 |
0 |
366 |
9-<10 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
58 |
21 |
28 |
20 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
171 |
10-<11 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
3 |
10 |
7 |
2 |
227 |
26 |
94 |
34 |
26 |
154 |
120 |
1 |
785 |
11-<12 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
6 |
14 |
4 |
8 |
7 |
0 |
65 |
12-<13 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
6 |
8 |
24 |
18 |
1 |
84 |
13-<14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
20 |
14-<15 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
3 |
16 |
0 |
28 |
15-<16 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
37 |
77 |
0 |
140 |
>=16 |
59 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
461 |
4 |
537 |
Total |
794 |
30 |
92 |
162 |
267 |
596 |
388 |
477 |
461 |
270 |
673 |
120 |
199 |
80 |
61 |
295 |
738 |
11 |
5714 |
Note: Figures are based on sample observations |
|